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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)
- Thread starter GeorgiaGirl
- Start date
I am thinking, for at least parts of NC, the Euro ensemble may try to pick up on a higher end event based off tonight's UKMET + the OP Euro. Of course, this is just speculation.
^can't see image for some reason...
I will up load one.
RollTide18
Member
Holy crap that's quite the increase over Alabama
Yea. It is. I going to stay up for the 6z nam since it is so close. But after that it nap/bed time. Lol.
Nam12k is running now out to 13 hours.
SCweather
Member
The Midlands would be the only place to deal with mixing issues when places to the SW and N aren’t having the issues.
Out to 25 hours with no major difference I can see.
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 8,655
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About the same so far
At hour 36. Still no major difference I can see.
Hour 42. The ridge out west might be slightly taller.
Morristown upped the pop to 50% for Tuesday.. Their new AFD seems more confident on at least some small accumulation in the Eastern Tn valley areas..
- Tuesday
Chance Snow
Showers
High: 33 °F
- Tuesday
Night
Chance Snow
Showers
Low: 12 °F
- Wednesday
Sunny
High: 27 °F
- Wednesday
Night
Clear
Low: 15 °F
At hour 45 our energy looks to be a little stronger.
Ok at hour 51 our snow line is forming better and our energy our west still looking better.
Hour 57 little better
Yea I hope that trends more. Little more tap out of the gulf.
RollTide18
Member
One thing I do notice is that it is taking that band quite a while to move through Alabama.
That is literally coming from an elongated ugly look; it is forcing what little precipitable water in the atmosphere out. We need it to stream moisture in from the Gulf to give a big deal.
Your probably right.
It is getting closure to that right??
Heck even North Carolina does good on this run. 
No, even on the 12KM NAM, by hour 78, its not even close to closing off. It's positively tilted, plowing through.
Yea I noticed it speed back up by the 6 hours.
Just for comparison's sake, the Jan 28 2014 snow event qpf total for CHA was only .11. They're calling for roughly the same amount this go around. No idea if there are enough similarities with these 2 systems though. CHA had 1.2 inches of snow, in temps rapidly falling to the teens. Was a crazy little system.
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By 84, I would be surprised if there is just absolutely no neutral tilt until well out into the Atlantic.
There is a plus though; this system could go on to produce a potential -NAO, while brief, to help us out with a true Miller-A down the road.
A couple days ago, @WeatherNC spoke about something after this light chance. Maybe it will help.
There is a plus though; this system could go on to produce a potential -NAO, while brief, to help us out with a true Miller-A down the road.
A couple days ago, @WeatherNC spoke about something after this light chance. Maybe it will help.
So that energy that is in the gulf we need it too slow down some for it to help out things?? Right??
The problem with this, is it's 24 hours or so out and take a look at those wind directions. Fail city; redundant/squashed/progressive based dud energy. Maybe some fishy precip out in the Atlantic.