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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)
- Thread starter GeorgiaGirl
- Start date
Here comes another moment of truth!
NorthGaWinter4
Member
If this run blanks us we can probably move on without the heartbreak
If you don’t see any post in the next 20
Mins. That means the euro was horrible!!!! Lmbo
Mins. That means the euro was horrible!!!! Lmbo
I can’t see soundings right now, would this be a situation where the DGZ is relatively closer to the surface than usual? That can make a difference in mis-modeled precip returns, no?
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Stormlover
Member
From a researcher at UAH in Huntsville: From Chris Lisauckis: Looks like snow here Tuesday gang. Snowdex is a 50+ across the Tennessee tier counties per both GFS and NAM. This tends to correspond to roughly 2-3" per available results from limited research.
Euro looks about the same so far through hr 42
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Yeah, I mentioned this esrlier, too.
Who’s gonna say “poof” first?
Energy is off the coast more near pac nw hr54 main trof might be a bit south vs 00z run
accu35
Member
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Ill keep my mouth shut for now on lol.
still about the same through hr 72. nice hit for TX and AR
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Shocker the underdispersive GEFS looks like crap. The GEFS was horrid with the last storm west of I95
north shift with the energy at h5 at hr 84, don't think this is going to be as good as 00z run
the doc doesn't look good folks hr 90 all moisture is about gone
well that sucks....I failed folks..lol maybe some flurries over near RDU at hour 96
Jon
Member
Yeah, as suspected the model runs are trending in the wrong direction today.
12z Euro at 90hr is weaker and more progressive, it’s not digging, next.
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Stormlover
Member
102 hr there is a little precip blossoming near and east of RDU but its light.
Storm5
Member
The trend towards drier is very clear over the last 12 hourd. Still time but we need to start seeing better trends .
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Storm5
Member
Looks about the same for us.
yup.no need to give up yet, but the trends are CLEAR......
That’s definitely drier, but I was expecting worse. Maybe we can trend back in the right direction. Still time
SCweather
Member
Memphis about to cash in again....
Yea we still have 3 days for this to trend back. Or worry at the moment.
Avalanche
Member
It looks as if it has disintegrated.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
If this remains just a clipper, there really isn't that much hope Georgia eastward. The redevelopment in NC sounds like it's still there but it's happening later and later.
Really tried to get it going for ENC and the coast... not sure of amounts but best precip in those locations
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Actually doesn't look bad for East NC.
Natedogg25
Member
So this may be a dumb question. And I apologize if it is. Is it possible that this run missed a small detail that the other runs had that would ultimately change the results.
Jon
Member
If this trends any more north/progressive/flat (whichever term one prefers) then all of NC may be out and the fish may get the snow.
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I believe these type of system tend to pick up better on the short range models like the hrrr.
Brett
Member
Euro shows a few inches here in SE Va not to bad!!
Storm5
Member
Lol 2-3 inches.....
tennessee storm
Member
thanks but no thanks.... yoall didnt get it yesterday... can have my share... i had enough already... lol
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Man, even inside 5 days is too far out for the models to go from a good looking storm here to nothing the next day.