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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

00z RGEM actually has beefed up QPF again across Wake.

qpf_acc.us_ma.png
 
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RGEM backing off totals in central SC. Not that I am surprised. People ride these RGEM/HRRR models like they are awesome etc. I've never had good experience with them.

Guys.
Radar.
Look for banding to fill back in. Use the HRRR/RAP & WV imagery at this point. Really all we can do. What is happening right now on satellite looks fine. so far.
 
Thankfully it's almost start time here. Like SD is alluding to , we've had nothing but outstanding trends all day from every and any angle possible. Now we just have to hold our breadth. Takes alot to get on the north side of 6 inches of snow and that's where alot of central NC is heading. Glad to see upstate and ne GA hopefully get in on the goods. Maybe the midlands and coastal guys can as well.
 
RGEM has the surface temp 32-33F for Wake County and then drops late afternoon, the 3km NAM is 30-31F. The 12km NAM is 29F-30F.
 
Its weird the RGEM started out looking good at first and then the band just pulls up. Anyway, maybe what's in South AL is headed here...
 
Ratios will have to monitored like a hawk tomorrow. Gonna make a huge difference for the Wake County peeps. I think it's too low still. Curious to see how that works out
 
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