• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Microwave March

I think my biggest concern after the 12z runs is the strength of the s/w. It just keeps getting weaker and weaker. The 18z NAM followed the trend of weakening it. Right now I am hoping for some token flakes but covering the ground would be a jackpot.
Yeah, looks like the GFS and Euro are showing anywhere from 3 to 10 inches for me. I'd take the 3 and call it a day. But I would be shocked to see anything this time of year.
 
The latest from Nashville.

cd7447d6abbb03639b1916be1f89a3c5.jpg



Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
 
18z is running, lets see where she goes. My guess is weaker, further south, less precip, and slower

Based on maps through hour 60 of the 18Z GFS, I'll go with this as the same trend from run to run continues in these early maps. Once again, the Arctic high is slightly stronger.
 
RDU hasn't seen an inch of snow after the first week of March since 1983, so I'll take what I can get. Interestingly enough though, it also snowed later that same spring, with nearly 2" falling in the Triangle on the 18th and 19th of April, 1983.
 
RDU hasn't seen an inch of snow after the first week of March since 1983, so I'll take what I can get. Interestingly enough though, it also snowed later that same spring, with nearly 2" falling in the Triangle on the 18th and 19th of April, 1983.
I can't fathom any city at Raleigh's latitude and elevation getting any snow that late in April. How does that happen ? We're talking an August sun angle ! Something very strange and unheard of was clearly going on in the spring of 1983 because Atlanta had a huge snowstorm in LATE March that year.
 
Based on maps through hour 60 of the 18Z GFS, I'll go with this as the same trend from run to run continues in these early maps. Once again, the Arctic high is slightly stronger.
Keep those updates coming - it's like watching a movie for the two of us!
 
I can't fathom any city at Raleigh's latitude and elevation getting any snow that late in April. How does that happen ? We're talking an August sun angle !

It's certainly possible, even though our background climate has warmed appreciably, over a period of 30-40 years deemed to be "significant" from a climatological standpoint, we only see one deterministic solution of the millions upon millions of possible scenarios, storms, etc that are possible within that climate. Essentially our observed spectrum of variability, especially over short time scales, it is too irregular and confined to provide a truly accurate gauge of potential variation... As another example, we've even see significant accumulating snow fall on the NC coast in mid April as recently as 1989, in an area w/ a snow/sleet climatology that's half to a third as conducive as RDU's...April 10-11 1989 NC Snowmap.png
 
Going to be a really good run for NC...18z slower and more suppressed, more south than 12z. RDU jackpot incoming
 
Keep those updates coming - it's like watching a movie for the two of us!

I wonder for how long this is going to keep trending south. We still have over 4 days/16 GFS runs to go before "storm" time. This has trended southward 200 miles in the last 3 runs, alone.
 
I wonder for how long this is going to keep trending south. We still have over 4 days/16 GFS runs to go before "storm" time. This has trended southward 200 miles in the last 3 runs, alone.
Just enough for NGA to be involved :)
 
Back
Top