• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern May-hem

SD said:
Here comes the backdoor front some convection along it would be great
2f1a80c8d838da7700d86522ccbac8b9.jpg


Sent from my SM-G928V using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

Thought that was an outflow boundary.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
The 18z GFS looks good too. 2-3 inches or more of rain for lots of us. Parts of AL and GA already have had 2-3 inches of rain and will be getting more.
 
Don't know what to say. We had a ton of rain, wind, lightning this evening. I forgot to mount my rain gauge, so no idea how much rain we got, but it was a lot. <head hung in shame>
 
Rain gauge glitched now showing 4.7 inches. No doubt that is wrong, but I'm sure we are over an inch here of good soaking rain
 
.14" of rain so far. Had storms/showers dancing around me all evening but nothing really hit until about 20 minutes go. Now it's a constant roar, heavy rain and wind. We need it! Not sure how I feel about the NWS forecast for tonight:

Overnight
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

Considering the rain JUST started 25 minutes or so ago... I doubt the mainly before 1AM thing happens. lol.
 
Last edited:
Arcc said:
Well whatever dry spell we had in Central AL is toast.
Click to expand...

Congrats! It also looks like the very dry area just south of Rosie got decent rain. Now if only we can get some good widespread rain over to weatherdawg in far south GA, Waycross, and Phil in Gainesville. Also, it is dry as a bone between Orlando and Lake Okeechobee though a portion of this area got some rain on Saturday.
 
It's looking like my area may be going to miss today's rain. Everything is to our west and moving north. Redevelopment isn't going to be likely either due to gulf coast convection doing its thing. Tues and Wed is our best hope and I'm betting that stays near the coast.
 
The GFS is beginning to joke around again... but forms the storm around 180, and has had the low down in the Caribbean there past 10 runs... I will be watching this, and if more models pick up on it and it persists then it may need a tropical thread. Hoping not.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_52.png
 
Last edited:
We're finally getting our first decent rainfall in weeks. I haven't gone outside to measure yet, but it appears that we definitely have received more than .5.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Just got slammed by a huge gust of wind. Somehow my neighbor's grill got halfway down their driveway from it. Lots of small limbs everywhere..
Click to expand...

Right round then I was coming across 20 and right before the Cherokee/Forsyth line some trees were down across powerlines; possible microburst or something, it was quite the mess.
 
JHS said:
It's looking like my area may be going to miss today's rain. Everything is to our west and moving north. Redevelopment isn't going to be likely either due to gulf coast convection doing its thing. Tues and Wed is our best hope and I'm betting that stays near the coast.
Click to expand...
That's a shame for you! :(
I've had 2" since midnight ! :)
 
60 this morning with low clouds and a NE wind. Much better than the 92 from yesterday

Sent from my SM-G928V using Tapatalk
 
Not exactly vacation weather this morning in PCB. Rainy, windy, and cool. Forecasts doesn't look great. Too many $$$$ to sit inside at the beach. Hope it breaks. I know the beachfront can have it's own weather enviro so I hope we ger lucky. Happy for the rain and at home and for all those who needed it.
 
Tarheel1 said:
That's a shame for you! :(
I've had 2" since midnight ! :)
Click to expand...
I can see you getting another inch of rain today, but it is not looking good over here at all. Hopefully the system for Tues and Wed gets the eastern upstate, but I'm not counting on it.
 
With the way this is going, the biggest loser out of this system might actually be me. I might just get a little over a trace as the best rain has juuuuuuuuusssssssssttttt missed my area.
 
From NWS JAX --

An unusually strong trough of low pressure in the middle and upper portions of the atmosphere will slowly dig southeastward from the Upper Midwest into the eastern United States during the early and middle portions of this week. Southwesterly flow aloft will strengthen over our region, transporting an increasingly deep tropical air mass from the Gulf of Mexico into southeast Georgia and northeast Florida. Smaller scale disturbances will periodically move overhead through Wednesday evening, bringing rounds of widespread showers and thunderstorms each day and evening. Strong thunderstorms will be possible by Tuesday and Wednesday as winds aloft continue to strengthen, with heavier activity capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and frequent cloud to ground lightning strikes. Rainfall totals through Thursday morning are expected to be in the 2 to 4 inch range for most locations, with locally higher totals possible. Although these will be largely beneficial rainfall totals for our drought stricken region, localized flooding will be possible where slow moving heavy downpours develop, especially in urban and low lying areas.
image6.png
 
That training over my house, tho!!
Amazingly tropical downpours! Over 3" since midnight ! Absolutely ripping!
 
Tarheel1 said:
That training over my house, tho!!
Amazingly tropical downpours! Over 3" since midnight ! Absolutely ripping!
Click to expand...
You are going over 4, maybe even 5, before the day is over. We finally got rain in the eastern upstate and am up to .92 here. The GFS and NAM moved the heaviest rain for Tues and Wed back toward the mountains and foothills where 5-7 could fall. I expect flood watches to be expanded a little this evening to include the I-85 corridor. They may hold off until tomorrow though, but will be issuing them before tomorrow night.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top