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Pattern May 2026

Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Chipping away at it View attachment 196181
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Whatever these 3 wet weeks for much of SE (through next week) won’t take care of and as long as the SE gets its climo share of PM convection through the summer, the upcoming El Niño will likely more than take care of the rest for most in the SE. That’s some of the most reliable climo. By winter, we could be setting up for opposite problems, flooding and mosquito haven conditions.
I’m still anticipating excellent rains late week through early next week. Until then, I’ll be patient.
 
This evening has been the ultimate tease with my having to travel ~8 miles west, where I drove into heavy rain from a band of thunderstorms. A little NW of there, there actually was a FF warning! Pt. Wentworth, Pooler, and Bloomingdale, all in NW Chatham county, got very heavy rain with 3-4” in some cases (all in <2 hours)!

I was hopeful that the band would soon push to my house. But as I drove back home, I noticed that the rain stopped, the roads were dry, and the sky no longer was threatening. Then when I got home, I saw that no rain had fallen. And now it looks like the atmosphere has stabilized with radar looking unimpressive. So, unless things change later, this may end up still another dry day at my place. But even if so, I remain hopeful for tomorrow and especially the weekend.
 
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GaWx said:
This evening has been the ultimate tease with my having to travel ~8 miles west, where I drove into heavy rain from a band of thunderstorms. A little NW of there, there actually was a FF warning! Pt. Wentworth, Pooler, and Bloomingdale, all in NW Chatham county, got very heavy rain with 3-4” in some cases (all in <2 hours)!

I was hopeful that the band would soon push to my house. But as I drove back home, I noticed that the rain stopped, the roads were dry, and the sky no longer was threatening. Then when I got home, I saw that no rain had fallen. And now it looks like the atmosphere has stabilized with radar looking unimpressive. So, unless things change later, this may end up still another dry day at my place. But even if so, I remain hopeful for tomorrow and especially the weekend.
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Seabreeze killed it for you. I see it most of the time
 
Today overperformed the forecast and reached 91°F. Nearly a month later than the average for the first 90°F daily high.

The last 3-4 days have actually felt like summer with 72-74°F lows, but that of course won't be enough to erase the negative departures. Heard some thunder, but in a typical 2026 fashion here, it turned into boring plain moderate showers
 
LukeBarrette said:
What a ridiculous pattern, eh?
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You should see the chasers out here haha. This is peak season and there is nothing showing up. A lot of people picked this timeframe for a chasecation... There's a couple from Australia here driving around looking for anything interesting

We've literally had rain showers from the east today with not a bit of lightning

I look at it this way we had more than enough tornadoes in the middle of the winter!
 
Arcc said:
Are yall sure that higher temperature RDU records isnt partly due to a forcefield generator? Did I just find where the alien/human hybrid camp is at?

Im not shocked...
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Cause of RDU temp sensor wockiness is obviously a dormant volcano around the airport becoming active again. Officials aren’t disclosing yet to reduce public panic.

Researching now--details later. If you don’t hear from me this summer, they got to me before the reveal. (But ya’ll heard it here first)
 
YetAnotherRDUGuy said:
Cause of RDU temp sensor wockiness is obviously a dormant volcano around the airport becoming active again. Officials aren’t disclosing yet to reduce public panic.

Researching now--details later. If you don’t hear from me this summer, they got to me before the reveal. (But ya’ll heard it here first)
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I could only imagine the gridlock and traffic jam that would cause! The volcanic cloud would then block enough sunlight to send the rest of the globe into a new ice age but RDU would be left out since the snow shields are up.
 
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Just think, we get through today, and saturday, and then we have a nice week!
 
GaWx said:
We’re getting absolutely pounded here by thunderstorms. But I’m again in W part of the county. This time though I think it will shortly move to my house. I’ll know within 30 minutes.
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Holy cow!! I just got home fortunately. Before that: Roads flooded, visibility near 0, driving no faster than 30 mph on the highway, flashers blinking….but made it! But something I’ve never seen before happened: water started dripping from between the top of the windshield and the roof! Fortunately I had a small towel to dry most of it up pretty quickly once I got home. After examining from the outside, I could see a portion of the rubber molding around the top of the windshield is sticking up a little:

IMG_0530.jpeg

The great news: I got ~1” of rain, my heaviest since May 2nd! The newly redug ditches nearby handled the heavy rain quite well, keeping my street from flooding. I had complained to the city about it flooding in all heavy rains. Sometimes it pays to make phone calls.

The radar showed what almost looked like a mini circulation.
 
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GaWx said:
Holy cow!! I just got home fortunately. Before that: Roads flooded, visibility near 0, driving no faster than 30 mph on the highway, flashers blinking….but made it! But something I’ve never seen before happened: water started dripping from between the top of the windshield and the roof! Fortunately I had a small towel to dry most of it up pretty quickly once I got home. After examining from the outside, I could see a portion of the rubber molding around the top of the windshield is sticking up a little:

View attachment 196198

The great news: I got ~1” of rain, my heaviest since May 2nd! The newly redug ditches nearby handled the heavy rain quite well, keeping my street from flooding. I had complained to the city about it flooding in all heavy rains. Sometimes it pays to make phone calls.

The radar showed what almost looked like a mini circulation.
Click to expand...

Do you happen to have a sunroof that hasn't had its rain channels cleaned and flushed in a while or had your windshield replaced recently? The rubber molding on the edges of modern windshields are purely cosmetic and do not act as a barrier to keep water out. There is a bead of urethane that holds the windshield to the pinch weld of the vehicle. This seal is what keeps water from intruding. If you did not get the windshield replaced recently, the likelihood of the existing urethane failing is almost non existent.
 
vtrap90 said:
Do you happen to have a sunroof that hasn't had its rain channels cleaned and flushed in a while or had your windshield replaced recently? The rubber molding on the edges of modern windshields are purely cosmetic and do not act as a barrier to keep water out. There is a bead of urethane that holds the windshield to the pinch weld of the vehicle. This seal is what keeps water from intruding. If you did not get the windshield replaced recently, the likelihood of the existing urethane failing is almost non existent.
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Thank you for this great info! When my roof was painted ~2 years ago, they had to remove the windshield and put it back. Do you think that despite that being 2 years ago and my having not had a leak until today that that still may have lead to today’s leak? Could it be that they didn’t reseal it well with urethane? And why is the rubber molding sticking up a bit where it leaked? That isn’t normal, right?

I’m thinking about calling them and then going there to have them look at it. What do you think?

I do have a sunroof. Although I don’t know if my sunroof channels have been cleaned recently, the water wasn’t streaming in from where the sunroof is. It was coming inside in front of the sunroof where my lights and sunroof controls are near where the roof meets the windshield). That’s why I was suspecting the seal between the windshield and roof. The inside of the sunroof and the moonroof were both dry.
 
GaWx said:
Thank you for this great info! When my roof was painted ~2 years ago, they had to remove the windshield and put it back. Do you think that despite that being 2 years ago and my having not had a leak until today that that still may have lead to today’s leak? Could it be that they didn’t reseal it well with urethane? And why is the rubber molding sticking up a bit where it leaked? That isn’t normal, right?

I’m thinking about calling them and then going there to have them look at it. What do you think?

I do have a sunroof. Although I don’t know if my sunroof channels have been cleaned recently, the water wasn’t streaming in from where the sunroof is. It was coming inside in front of the sunroof where my lights and sunroof controls are near where the roof meets the windshield). That’s why I was suspecting the seal between the windshield and roof. The inside of the sunroof and the moonroof were both dry.
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I'd dry things out, then run water confined to the windshield to narrow it down. The sunroof drainage system is the prime suspect iMO.

Anywho, what a lovely surprise at how nice it is on the back deck this AM following the weak wedge front. 70 with lower humidity and a nice NE breeze. :cool:
 
GaWx said:
Holy cow!! I just got home fortunately. Before that: Roads flooded, visibility near 0, driving no faster than 30 mph on the highway, flashers blinking….but made it! But something I’ve never seen before happened: water started dripping from between the top of the windshield and the roof! Fortunately I had a small towel to dry most of it up pretty quickly once I got home. After examining from the outside, I could see a portion of the rubber molding around the top of the windshield is sticking up a little:

View attachment 196198

The great news: I got ~1” of rain, my heaviest since May 2nd! The newly redug ditches nearby handled the heavy rain quite well, keeping my street from flooding. I had complained to the city about it flooding in all heavy rains. Sometimes it pays to make phone calls.

The radar showed what almost looked like a mini circulation.
Click to expand...
I had the same issue with our 2013 (yes, 2013. she has been our road girl traveling over 160k miles!) RAV4 where she had a leak from one of the moonroof gutters. Fortunately, the vehicle was checked by one of the local body shop in our area and turned out it was a clogged drain. Drained it and never had it leaking again.
 
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