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May 2021 Discussion Thread

Myfrotho704_ said:
Probably will see a few 37-40s in the areas that typically cool off the most... cough cough @metwannabe
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It looks to me like skies will have to clear out in a hurry for us to get temperatures anywhere close to that tomorrow night. I’m not even convinced temperatures drop during the day tomorrow as much as what’s being forecasted. TWC has me at 50 degrees by this time tomorrow afternoon but looks to cool things off a bit too quick this evening with full overcast. Temperatures have managed to get into the lower 70s today and dewpoints are still in the 50s.
 
Downeastnc said:
Yeah record low max tomorrow at PGV is 64, we look to crush that if we only get 55
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The thing is most places are going to record their highs for tomorrow tonight at midnight. That being said, 64 could be close, but for places that the record is down in the 50s, they should be plenty safe.
 
Chazwin said:
The thing is most places are going to record their highs for tomorrow tonight at midnight. That being said, 64 could be close, but for places that the record is down in the 50s, they should be plenty safe.
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Columbia is at 77 right now. It may end up in the 50s in the afternoon, but it will have to drop significantly to hit the minimum maximum before midnight.
 
So I’m really having a hard time seeing how I end up seeing the temperature drop that TWC and even Brad P’s futurecast model is showing over the next 12 hours. TWC has me at 52 degrees at noon while Futurecast is at 48 (which would be completely unheard of for midday on May 12). The Futurecast does look like it initiated about 3 degrees too cool... it’s still holding at 64 for the last 3 hours since the clouds filled back over. More importantly the dewpoint is now 57 which is up from the lower 50s earlier. I’ve always said never bet against a wedge, but I just still have a hard time believing we see the afternoon temperatures as low as what some of these models are showing. Of course I’ve been wrong before and will be again so who knows
 
Sucks we won’t break many record low max temps today in SC due to it being to warm at Midnight…. It was 70° at CAE at midnight and the record was 66°. No official record today.
 
Lickwx said:
Between midnight and now temps rose from 53 to 57. Lmao go getting your 40s @NickyBGuarantee its not happening . Really sad you have to hug 1 model and shut out the rest .
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Yeah I’m still at 61 with a dewpoint of 57 and rain knocking on the door. So I still don’t see how I get down to the upper 40s by 1pm like TWC has
 
SD said:
Front came though about an hour ago. Dews are down into the low 40s if it rains temps are going down
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Yeah I saw the dews dropped. Let’s see what happens but I saw in the forecast it holds off until our best chances in a 2-3 hour window around noon. Still though rain doesn’t look like it will be that heavy, so who knows but low 40s doesn’t seem likely .
 
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Lickwx said:
Yeah I saw the dews dropped. Let’s see what happens but I saw in the forecast it holds off until our best chances in a 2-3 hour window around . Still though rain doesn’t look like it will be that heavy, so who knows but low 40s doesn’t seem likely .
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Yeah low 40s is probably too aggressive.
 
SD said:
Yeah low 40s is probably too aggressive.
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HRRR has dews getting down to 27 here briefly and 20s on the va side of the border ! Ummmm too aggressive ? It’s right so far on dews, 39 at RDU. Dews are verifying too low you know what that means bro!
 
Lickwx said:
HRRR has dews getting down to 27 here briefly and 20s on the va side of the border ! Ummmm too aggressive ? It’s right so far on dews, 39 at RDU. Dews are verifying too low you know what that means bro!
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Ice Mageddon??

On / off drizzle here. Temps holding steady around 50. <---- and every second of this sucks...
 
Oh... lets all stop with the whining about 1 day of below average temps with MUCH needed rainfall. It's not like this is occurring on during the weekend. It's going to be downright beautiful this weekend. I can deal with this weather for one day. Because come August we're all going to wishing for wedges and a cooldown. (I realize this is a very unpopular opinion). But it'll be okay.
 
50/43 , don’t think we drop much more than that considering dews are rising up and the suns getting higher in the sky . Somewhere way above the crappy clouds . Absolutely ------- miserable but what’s a guy with my luck last few months to expect other than the shittiest weather .
 
ryan1234 said:
Oh... lets all stop with the whining about 1 day of below average temps with MUCH needed rainfall. It's not like this is occurring on during the weekend. It's going to be downright beautiful this weekend. I can deal with this weather for one day. Because come August we're all going to wishing for wedges and a cooldown. (I realize this is a very unpopular opinion). But it'll be okay.
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Yep the whole key is in bold if this was a weekend day it would be turrible.
 
Lickwx said:
50/43 , don’t think we drop much more than that considering dews are rising up and the suns getting higher in the sky . Somewhere way above the crappy clouds . Absolutely ------- miserable but what’s a guy with my luck last few months to expect other than the shittiest weather .
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Eh what can you do, it's no worse than 90s in October or near 80 around Christmas or 33 and rain. At least it's not a damaging/killing frost/freeze
 
SD said:
Eh what can you do, it's no worse than 90s in October or near 80 around Christmas or 33 and rain. At least it's not a damaging/killing frost/freeze
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Yeah I hope it rises a bit though, some mid upper 50 s and rain at least lol! Would be more enjoyable for me then. 33 and rain is pretty dang bad , this is the may equivalent of it lol.
 
ryan1234 said:
Oh... lets all stop with the whining about 1 day of below average temps with MUCH needed rainfall. It's not like this is occurring on during the weekend. It's going to be downright beautiful this weekend. I can deal with this weather for one day. Because come August we're all going to wishing for wedges and a cooldown. (I realize this is a very unpopular opinion). But it'll be okay.
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Honestly my only complaint is where was this strong of a CAD setup back during January to put us 25 degrees below daytime averages and give us a good winter storm.
 
Chazwin said:
Honestly my only complaint is where was this strong of a CAD setup back during January to put us 25 degrees below daytime averages and give us a good winter storm.
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We are even more ! If these temps hold till noon we would be 30 below ! That’s the January equivalent of a 20 degree high lol. Pretty darn cold . I mean the highs we will record though like you said won’t reflect how ------ this day truly was though looking back on it lol.
 
Lickwx said:
Yeah I hope it rises a bit though, some mid upper 50 s and rain at least lol! Would be more enjoyable for me then. 33 and rain is pretty dang bad , this is the may equivalent of it lol.
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Itll be interesting to see if we bounce up quickly later today once the rain stops and the sun potentially comes out. Until then it's probably a slow downward tick
 
whatalife said:
Just a taste of what this coming winter will be like. Exception being...it’ll be 33° and cold rain.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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I was about to say the same thing. 2 miles up the road with 6" of snow and 33 and rain here. Doesn't get any worse than that mess.
 
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