lexxnchloe
Member
Lets hope March ends on a cool note
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March 2026 - Winter or Spring?
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
Just use the CONUS view man we don't need to see the entire atlantic
accu35
Member
Full -nao at the end of the eps, hope everyone enjoyed the recent warmth
I was at Eagle Chase Wednesday afternoon and the wind made me feel like I was playing at Pebble Beach
I think it'll be close, not much warm signal that I can find in the majority of April. Interesting both of those years were transitions from cold to warm enso
JHS
Member
March 2012 was wild. By March 20 it was summerlike, even with pop up storms. Then a monster heatwave in late June into July and that severe derecho that sent high winds into eastern NC.
I don't remember 2012 much for some reason, but I remember 1997 being the coldest April I've ever experienced around here. It literally felt like winter at times. (without the wintry precip) It was actually kinda dreary. This was near GSO back then, but I would bet the majority of the SE experienced this as well.
Also remember May not being too warm either, and even early June had highs that struggled to get out of the 60's a few days. Might have to look those up though, cause memory can play tricks on us.
The exciting ups and downs and stormy will continue. Here’s the wild ATL fcast from FFC:
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING, THEN SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. LITTLE OR NO
SNOW ACCUMULATION. COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
TEMPERATURE FALLING INTO THE LOWER 40S IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING, THEN SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. LITTLE OR NO
SNOW ACCUMULATION. COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
TEMPERATURE FALLING INTO THE LOWER 40S IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
Some Monday mood flakes are looking more and more possible for some.
On St. Patrick's Day, the leprechaun had better ditch the funny hat and shorts and bring his parka, gloves and toboggan. It will be another dramatic temperature drop from highs in the seventies this weekend to highs in the mid forties by Tuesday. There will be a hard freeze Tuesday night in the RDU area.
The fcast for SAV is for near the 2nd coldest 3/17 mean and high!
Also, the NAO/AO fcasts continue to drop for week 2:
NAO just 3 days ago:
NAO yest:
NAO today:
Brent
Member
And that's probably with no storms!
Today spring!
Tomorrow: winter
Tomorrow: winter
Courtesy of Mitch West:
If the HRRR has ever been right, this would be nice!
If the HRRR has ever been right, this would be nice!
21z RAP went nuts...plenty of snow to go around...but looks like accumulations will be hard to come by due to soil temps, near surface air temps, and daytime insolation,
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Somebody’s getting a coating of snow on top of their hail 
SWVAwxfan
Member
Last time they called for mood flakes in my area. We ended up with 2.5" of snow and bad roads. Could this be a repeat?
It would be nice to see it falling if nothing else. A nice finale before we go hotter than hell until October.
HailCore
Member
After this winter, I cannot believe how easily dry air gets rid of NW flow type snow from sticking, after so many years of dealing with thermal issues and good moisture to this year a lot of dry air with minimal moisture and plenty cold air. While this initial wave looks to be too warm for accumulations, I would watch those post-frontal snow showers coming in around sunset with temps approaching 32 and this time, a lot more moisture than the previous setups (rh of 75-85 percent) with the low cloud cover really socking in that temp/dew point close together. This looks like the type of event that could produce convective snow showers in nature (MUCAPE briefly >100j/kg in some spots off the latest HRRR), and when thinking back to some recent events where I thought the potential was there for these convective post frontal snow showers, the limiting factor was usually very dry air and limited moisture (prevented accumulation) which appears to not be present this time. Something to watch for sure, even as far south as northern AL/GA but especially TN/NC.
strong winds, hail, tornadoes and snow on the back end. what a finale
You would think the Bradford pears would have relearned their lesson by now..
Too cold to snow...
Interestingly, FFC has removed snow from the grid forecast for my area with this morning's package after advertising it for several cycles. I bet novelty flakes get added back in this evening.
LOL, they did another typo like that during the mauler storm as well. Called for wind gusts of 2535 mph. Punctuation is important.
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I told you guys those afds are underwhelming now. I know RAH guys lurk, please fix
BHS1975
Member
ForsythSnow
Moderator
This is just funny. Cold chasing moisture but it actually catches up
HailCore
Member
I think somebody outside the mountains has a nonzero chance of getting a brief coating tomorrow afternoon that is rate driven. Perhaps not from the cold chasing moisture section, but the convective snow shower potential that follows might be able to locally cool the air more and work with low level moisture/some instability. It would be really crazy if some spots could get all 4 main precip types tomorrow (rain/hail/sleet/snow) with hail in the convective storms early and sleet on the transition zone between rain and snow, and perhaps some graupel mixing in with the convective snow showers (if they do manifest).
For folks west of the Apps, that's a real possibility. For us east of the Apps, not so much. The mountains provide us with our beloved CAD but curse us on post frontal changeover situations.