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Severe March 14-17 Severe

I was watching the radar going into the 2013 El Reno tornado (in an Austin Starbucks, showing my laptop to strangers), and that's the only other time I've seen a line of synchronized tornadic storms (I don't do this all the time).

Editing to add, they were different then, with the characteristic tornado signatures, and these are curled the opposite way, but the way 3-4 of them got in line and synchronized was the same.

1742092151539.png
 
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934 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2025

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
COOSA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT.

* AT 934 PM CDT, A TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS LOCATED OVER DOLLAR,
OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WEOGUFKA, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.


* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HANOVER, LYLE, MITCHELL LAKE, DOLLAR, BRADFORD, GOODWATER,
WEOGUFKA, STRICKLAND CROSSROADS, BENTLEYVILLE, UNITY, PARKDALE,
MORIAH, ROCKFORD, KELLYTON, HATCHET, CREWSVILLE, STEWARTVILLE,
HIGGINS FERRY PARK, AND MITCHELL DAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT, A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND.
 
Played around with the HRRR a bit again, and honestly, it's not excited about the threat outside of south GA, which is a good thing. Not seeing any STP or the cells out in front of the linear line that I saw in the morning.

I will say this though...I've spent too much time down the rabbit hole of watching storm chasers today haha. I may have...hopefully not, but maybe, jinxed myself.

Wind is still whipping here.
 
Brent said:
Yeah I feel like regardless of what else happens clearly the models were off about something today

And no I'm not upset or disappointed it's just interesting to see
Click to expand...

The storm mode just got too messy. It's always a possibility in these events.

If I had to pinpoint a particular reason why, it's because the lapse rates increasingly became moist-adiabetic with the lack of mid-level dry air (unlike yesterday).
 
950 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2025

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN CHEROKEE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT.

* AT 950 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PLEASANT GAP,
OR 8 MILES SOUTH OF FORNEY, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 75 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS.
 
1055 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2025

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
PAULDING COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA...
HARALSON COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA...
CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA...
NORTHWESTERN COBB COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
DOUGLAS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
SOUTHEASTERN FLOYD COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA...
NORTHERN HEARD COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA...
NORTHWESTERN COWETA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA...
SOUTHWESTERN FULTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
SOUTHEASTERN GORDON COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA...
POLK COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA...
BARTOW COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA...

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT.

* AT 1054 PM EDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM ESOM HILL TO CORINTH, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.
 
Are the impact times for the Charlotte area a little behind? Looking at the NWS forecast I see that they have pushed it til 9 am or so and less rain accumulation?
 
BufordWX said:
Line of wind coming into Georgia out of Alabama now. I wouldn’t rule out a spin up tornado either.View attachment 171935
Click to expand...
The winds are really howling over here. Really makes me concerned how bad it could really get since we’re still an hour two away from the main action.
 
NorthDFWwx said:
The storm mode just got too messy. It's always a possibility in these events.

If I had to pinpoint a particular reason why, it's because the lapse rates increasingly became moist-adiabetic with the lack of mid-level dry air (unlike yesterday).
Click to expand...

NW flow at 500mb just rarely ever leads to a tornado outbreak in the southeast unless the rare events like Easter a few years ago that was QLCS driven. I posted this image two days ago just using how these systems historically run. Obviously a little too far south with the red bubble.

1742094757528.jpeg
 
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