Tropical Major Hurricane Isaias

[beanskip]

Latest recon pass -- so much for leveling off -- 951.6 extrap?????

 

[Snowfan]

Latest recon pass -- so much for leveling off -- 951.6 extrap?????

NOAA low pressure bias. Dropsonde should be come in the next half hour.

 

[ForsythSnow]

Latest recon pass -- so much for leveling off -- 951.6 extrap?????

With that storm activity blowing up and an ERC complete, it's definitely holding in there despite all the shear.

 

[Snowfan]

128 kt flight level wind found via Cyclonicwx.com

 

[weatherwolf]

Noteworthy

 

[weatherwolf]

Will be a nice test of the REFS. It isn't too different from the current HREF so I imagine it'll perform fairly well

 

[tractor girl]

I don't see this going too far west after landfall especially given recent model runs. The center likely will only drift a bit west post-landfall (central to central western AL at most)

That's not a good sign for ATL and other parts of GA

 

[ForsythSnow]

Eyewall looks more symmetrical this pass

 

[Snowfan]

There's a user on a Roblox Wx Discord server who is stationed at Elgin Air Force Base and he was notified to be prepared for a high-end C3/low-end C4 landfall.