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Pattern JUULY 2025 Smokin Heat Thraad

Forgot I started this thread.

98.6 today
99.5 here but my Tempest is situated between my yellow vinyl siding house on one side, and my white shed on the other. Sunlight gets reflected onto it, literally hottest spot on the property so I'm sure it always a couple degrees hot right there
 
Currently 95/83. Taking a break about every 20 minutes cutting grass couldn’t do it this morning as the yard is still soggy from all the rain a couple days back.
 
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Honestly pretty manageable. Getting shade from cumulus clouds every so often and taking breaks. We had nearly 2” of rain this week and the transpiration is off the charts from the yard. Still not done cutting grass.
 
Greg Fishel just posted on Facebook he thinks the string of triple digit days won't happen here.

HIGHLY UNLIKELY NOW THAT RDU WILL SEE ANY TRIPLE DIGIT HIGHS DURING THIS HEAT WAVE

As I mentioned in my video yesterday, it was becoming clear to me that the atmosphere in reality was not behaving as many of us thought it would earlier in the week. Not downplaying the heat at all, but triple digits gets everybody's attention, and so one better have some pretty strong evidence when predicting those kinds of numbers. One thing I have learned over the years is that holding on to the original narrative when evidence to the contrary is growing is just pure stupidity. Things change, and I think the public understands that. So if you're still seeing forecasts of a string of triple digit high temperatures, use with caution. Current data simply does not support those numbers.
 
Bleh

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GSP appears to have clipped 100F for the first time in 13 years today. If it was a rounding oddity on the 5-min obs, 100 will almost certainly come in the next few days
 
GSP appears to have clipped 100F for the first time in 13 years today. If it was a rounding oddity on the 5-min obs, 100 will almost certainly come in the next few days
As for MBY, looks like 98 for today. I went up to the Great Balsams and hid in the elevation for the day, even up there just above 5k’ it got to 78.8!
 
GSP appears to have clipped 100F for the first time in 13 years today. If it was a rounding oddity on the 5-min obs, 100 will almost certainly come in the next few days
Yeah kinda strange really. This was supposed to be the coolest day out of the wave with a forecast of 96 but made all the way to 100. CLT all the way to 101 with both locations beating out CAE which only got to 99. Both CAE and AVL (only got to 90) underachieved so I kinda feel cheated to be honest. Maybe there was some down slope heating or something?
 
Yeah kinda strange really. This was supposed to be the coolest day out of the wave with a forecast of 96 but made all the way to 100. CLT all the way to 101 with both locations beating out CAE which only got to 99. Both CAE and AVL (only got to 90) underachieved so I kinda feel cheated to be honest. Maybe there was some down slope heating or something?
More mixing did occur in a pocket from the Upstate of SC thru a good chunk of NC where some locations mixed out dewpoints into the upper 60s, low 70s. Most locations closer to the coastline never did mix out as much and stayed in the mid 70s to 80 dewpoints.
 
More mixing did occur in a pocket from the Upstate of SC thru a good chunk of NC where some locations mixed out dewpoints into the upper 60s, low 70s. Most locations closer to the coastline never did mix out as much and stayed in the mid 70s to 80 dewpoints.

While the inland CHS area dewpoints were higher yesterday during peak heating, the inland SAV area’s were unexpectedly to me not so bad, 71-72. So despite high temps making it to 96-98 (about as predicted), the HI max of ~105 fortunately failed to make it to the predicted ~110.
 
Looks like roughly the same pace in the upstate so far, perhaps 1-2F ahead for some specific sites. I think today is probably going to thankfully end up our last shot to gun for triple digits around here with the potential for some convection tomorrow keeping things in the frigid upper 90s
 
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