GFS starts colder but again has the same thing its had lately...a monster clipper changes the pattern from eastern trough to kind of a progressive look. Now normally I would discount the GFS but the trend lately for the GFS supports what the EPS has been saying all along, which has never had the eastern trough lasting long. And the EPS has done very well lately.
I would love for the GEFS to be right on the cooler pattern, but it's on an island by itself right now. Everything else suggests what the EPS has said, and the EPS isn't looking good.
I actually don't think this looks as bad as I thought it did though last night. I kind of think that this is going to end up being a return to the pattern we saw in December. That ended up being an above climo month temperature wise but it had many cool, damp, and dreary days.
And with the very suppressed system we're seeing in the gulf not long after the pattern change, we're going to need to see a Matthew like intervention trend tomorrow. I don't even mean it needs to show a winter storm for us, I mean it needs to make a jump to where it's showing precip in the southern portion of MS/AL/GA.