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Pattern January Joke

Lost in all this is the fact we're pretty much guaranteed to wind up below average temp wise in January for the coastal plain cities. Looking at Florence here in my backyard we're at +1.8F month to date with the rest of this month looking WELL below average. That would make November, December, and January all below the 30 year average. I don't even remember the last time we saw that.
 
When does weathernext2 put out new models? Also is there legitimate concern that rare events historically are going to be difficult for AI models considering they may not have exposure or is that a human way of thinking and AI doesn’t depend on past events?

I wasn’t sure where to ask this. Bouncy may have something to add but the other thread is popping to much to ask anything right now.
 
Not the mama said:
When does weathernext2 put out new models? Also is there legitimate concern that rare events historically are going to be difficult for AI models considering they may not have exposure or is that a human way of thinking and AI doesn’t depend on past events?

I wasn’t sure where to ask this. Bouncy may have something to add but the other thread is popping to much to ask anything right now.
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Bouncy added some info. But it’s super technical. I’m an engineer. And still had to digest it.

The bottom line is it’s a rare event for us. But the workings of all of it is not rare. So it’s not like “it” hasn’t “learned” yet because it is a rare event. Keep in mind, similar things like “the wedge” and such happen in other locations around the globe.
 
atlwx said:
Bouncy added some info. But it’s super technical. I’m an engineer. And still had to digest it.

The bottom line is it’s a rare event for us. But the workings of all of it is not rare. So it’s not like “it” hasn’t “learned” yet because it is a rare event. Keep in mind, similar things like “the wedge” and such happen in other locations around the globe.
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Makes sense. Thank you!
 
KyloG said:
Week 2 with subtle improvements…😳

West coast ridge stand up

View attachment 185925
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Now I know what it’s like to live in the Northeast where you don’t spend much time looking ahead cause you’ve got a storm on the horizon. We’re pretty dang good at analyzing long range patterns - lots of experience
 
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griteater said:
Now I know what it’s like to like in the Northeast where you don’t spend much time looking ahead cause you’ve got a storm on the horizon. We’re pretty dang good at analyzing long range patterns - lots of experience
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They’re probably like “That PNA has really flattened out. Lower heights coming in over Alaska. SER really flaring up and rolling over. Should be a good run here, boys”
 
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