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Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026

iwantsouthernsnow123 said:
The weird thing is, do you even see this as an impossible scenerio? I feel like if you get a general overrunning setup with a high pressure that strong, it could be a legit risk in an extreme scenerio. This is something we need to monitor extremely closely. Could be an outlier run.
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It is plausible.. and I could see a scenario where we have a very strong southern slider. All we'd need is a bit more consolidated energy ejecting from the baja low, amplifying the cyclogenesis attempts near the Texas coast. We were close to that this run, and it would've dumped feet of snow (or inches of ice) in places in the deep south.
 
bouncycorn said:
It is plausible.. and I could see a scenario where we have a very strong southern slider. All we'd need is a bit more consolidated energy ejecting from the baja low, amplifying the cyclogenesis attempts near the Texas coast. We were close to that this run, and it would've dumped feet of snow (or inches of ice) in places in the deep south.
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Yeah lmao that run in my area was literally 36 hours of absolute pure snow.
 
Bigedd09 said:
Cold chasing moisture? Not sure if I like


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Super cold air masses like this are the human equivalent to having the speed of Usain Bolt and the power of Lawrence Taylor in his prime. They move much faster than you think they do and just bulldoze whatever stands in their way. The stupid amount of frontal lifting you get from this, let alone the warm advection over top of that...
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Idk how this can even be possible. And it’s not the only model that has shown it this way. But I’ve never seen it so my gut just tells me it can’t happen like that.

Honestly I’ve seen this run before but it was 8-10 years ago at about hour 357 when the map pixels start to get real spludgy and grainy
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I've never actually personally seen any model ever do this inside 250 hours yet alone 125-130 hours.. People need to start getting warned regardless of if it hits or not.. The southeast needs to prepare for the worst regardless. Not doomcasting but it does not hurt to be prepared when there is a chance of not being able to go anywhere or have power for who knows how long.
 
Forevertothee said:
Can anyone really recall both the GFS and GEM both showing winter storm stretching from Texas to the Atlantic and BOTH giving SC and NC 9-10 inches of snow? Even the ICON puts 5 inches in N Upstate. Epic start to the night runs. I suspect Euro will show a crippling ice storm for SC into Ga again.
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Only times I've seen models do this, there's been a storm for someone that verified. One thing is for sure something is coming and the modeling is not struggling to see something large. The fine details will work out but it's been awhile since we've had a good overrunning scenario like this.
 
Just realized a major problem. Many people who were "thinking" it was going to snow from meteorologist refusing to let go of the system just had a "chance" of snow that happened. Some people may be stubborn to be convinced it "could" snow if a major situation starts to try to unfold or show more signals of it unfolding..
 
Pretty amazing potential being shown fellas. Gotta keep this cold push strong, if we can get a true over-running event a lot of people will score. We don't get many of these anymore but they can be great ones. Remember the LP doesn't need to be that strong, just need the right track and a good tap. I hope the models are doing their usual crazy ice accumulation outputs; nobody needs the kind of ice being shown, likely be more sleet or cold rain under those. Going to be a busy week.!
 
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