• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026

17c6da5082657f84092b3d48f42d3731.jpg
 
This is the kind of winter storm where whatever snow or ice you get from it will likely stay around for many days afterwards, especially as a reinforcing shot of arctic air probably comes in late next week. Depending on how much snow/ice falls to cover the ground, I could easily see temperatures falling into the 0s after this goes by in central NC.

Definitely one of those times where you all will want to plan accordingly and be prepared for there to be at least some travel issues for a few to perhaps several days.

The impacts from this event are likely going to be quite outsized/rather high for the amount of wintry precipitation that falls because of how cold it could be during and after the storm.
 
jackendrickwx said:
Ol' AI GFS here ain't ready for the big show yet. That's alright, beef up that NIL budget, get some guys from the portal and come to play next year.
Click to expand...
Yeah AI GFS is quite a bit worse than the other AI models. It scores Better than the conventional GFS, but far below AIFS. Somewhat on par with the deterministic ECMWF-IFS
 
mercy....that would look pretty in real time.
Webberweather53 said:
This is the kind of winter storm where whatever snow or ice you get from it will likely stay around for many days afterwards, especially as a reinforcing shot of arctic air probably comes in late next week. Depending on how much snow/ice falls to cover the ground, I could easily see temperatures falling into the 0s after this goes by in central NC.

Definitely one of those times where you all will want to plan accordingly and be prepared for there to be at least some travel issues for a few to perhaps several days.

The impacts from this event are likely going to be quite outsized/rather high for the amount of wintry precipitation that falls because of how cold it could be during and after the storm.
Click to expand...
Yep..this isn't one of those deals where it melts the same day or gone by the next. This is one of the very rare times that folks really should stock up because it's going to be rough travel for a number of days.
 
Webberweather53 said:
This is the kind of winter storm where whatever snow or ice you get from it will likely stay around for many days afterwards, especially as a reinforcing shot of arctic air probably comes in late next week. Depending on how much snow/ice falls to cover the ground, I could easily see temperatures falling into the 0s after this goes by in central NC.

Definitely one of those times where you all will want to plan accordingly and be prepared for there to be at least some travel issues for a few to perhaps several days.

The impacts from this event are likely going to be quite outsized/rather high for the amount of wintry precipitation that falls because of how cold it could be during and after the storm.
Click to expand...

To that note Eric, I think I counted 6 entire days below freezing starting Saturday through 1/31! Pretty impressive if you ask me.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
ForsythSnow said:
The wild part on the GFS's solution is that the ice comes, then the snow comes for many especially ATL. It'd be a huge lights out if that happens too since the snow will rapidly pile up on heavy ice and just stick like paste in transition. Have to watch for this.
Click to expand...
With this setup the ice/sleet will almost certainly come first. The surface will be freezing but the upper layers might take a little longer. That’s what’s causing the concern 😕
 
Bigedd09 said:
This is incredible. I don’t remember a time a radar ever looking like this during a winter storm. But I haven’t been following weather super long. Just wow if this verifies
d8eabe2168e1e48bcdf0083fdcfb5283.jpg



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Radars were not the best of quality during January 1988, but if they had today’s technology, I imagine it would have looked similar to this early morning on 1/7/1988
 
ForsythSnow said:
The wild part on the GFS's solution is that the ice comes, then the snow comes for many especially ATL. It'd be a huge lights out if that happens too since the snow will rapidly pile up on heavy ice and just stick like paste in transition. Have to watch for this.
Click to expand...
If this is true, we pray that the 925 temps are colder than advertised in metro ATL and we get more sleet than ZR. 🙏🏿🙏🏿
 
In my experience the GFS camp is not one you particularly want to be in. I’ve seen it be wrong with its ensembles on placement of precipitation inside 84 hours.

Now grant it the large and in charge high pressure certainly could bring about a more suppressed look but usually I’d expect WAA to have a more expanded precipitation shield north than what the GFS is showing.. something like the CMC and euro.

All that to say maybe the GFS is onto something here or maybe it’s just consistently wrong .. again.. but regardless a widespread winter storm is coming for many in the south. I personally just lean on the side of ice storm vs snow
 
Not the mama said:
Yes. Key word being working. The time to fix a gunked up carb and cracked fuel lines on your grandpas homelite chainsaw is not during a storm. It’s well before.
Click to expand...
Lol. It was an old Homelite that I had at first. Didn't take long to realize a 15 year old saw with a 16 inch bar wasn't enough. I've got a 20 inch Stiel, and a 20 inch Husky now, and my big saw is a Husky clone 28 inch bar...because I live in a forest. A half to one inch ice storm will shred all the limbs out of the trees, and you'll be feeding bon fires for weeks. Over an inch will bring a lot of trees down, and in Atl. folks up cul de sacs were in a bad way without chainsaws. 10,000 roads with 30 trees and power poles down on them means no one will get there to help you. Hench the need for chainsaws if you want to eat, or have an emergency.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top