Euro looks to go into ice mode at the end of its run... but goes to show you how much we don’t know about what will happen
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
packfan98
Moderator
How does the run to run change look? Seems like there’s a ton of flip flopping indicating high volatility, an impending pattern change, or we just suck.
La Niña
???????
?
NCSNOW
Member
- Joined
- Dec 2, 2016
- Messages
- 9,540
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Starts in 7.5 Ill take Mathew East,Euro. GFS plays guys like a yo yo every winter.
NCEP is always having models issues nowadays every week
Yeah they keep showing WARMTH ??
olhausen
Member
Hopefully it stays west this season. Middle Tennessee got clobbered last year. Last March was crazy with that big tornado that caught everyone off guard.
Another flizzard ? ------- bull ----
Another flizzard 
These medium range changes are hysterical 
whatalife
Moderator
Yep. It’ll be the end of this coming week before we know how the last week of January will truly play out.
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Torture
BHS1975
Member
The precip is almost always underdone to the north in overrunning events especially nowadays with higher pwats.
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BHS1975
Member
This has got over-performer written all over it.
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Yep I agree, overrunning events are driven off warm air advection which almost always ends up stronger then modeled, which is the cause for precip in the first place, might be something sneaky to watch here
Hmmm 
