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Wintry Jan 27-28 Snow Potential Official Thread
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
@KyloG or anyone else have the 06z eps, looks like it might have been a tick better (I went with the wrong model subscription ?)
Thor
Member
Look at the 3 run trend up for the MA with today's event....anything can happen.
Reality says we'll probably get very little snow. But I'm hoping (on the high end) for something that resembles the storm we had last year.
Well the good news is we have the Euro on our side (kind of), the bad news is the Euro is colder because it's weaker and less qpf.... I don't see how we get both an amped system with more qpf and cold air.
12z 12k nam wasn't pretty
Best model going
ICON basically weak sauce too, some light sn up this way but about it..... however, not a bad track
12z RDPS, with surface temps below freezing for NE Piedmont into northern coastal plain:
Worth noting the RDPS has a huge cold bias and looked good for the storm in early jan
For example
For example
snowlover91
Member
Yeah would love for it to be correct but NAM is better on thermals usually. Once we get in range of 3km NAM, if it shows similar then we might have something.
One thing of note with the RDPS and it's depiction this time, it was also slower then the NAM allowing time for more caa to filter in
GFS still the most amped up system and the warmest
Is the v16 cold biased ? 
NCHighCountryWX
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WPC says Pennsylvania