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Misc Jalapeño July

Webberweather53 said:
Seriously wtf is DT doing, why is he looking at 5 day CFSv2 forecast windows 2 months in advance? Ugh I swear he's no better than Joe Bastardi...

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What a fool
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The 18z GFS looks awfully dry over much of VA and the Triad area in NC over the next 9 days and I'm willing to bet this extends much farther south and west than the model shows. CAD is NOT your friend if you want rain. Meanwhile the I-20 corridor will just continue to rack up. We will not get measurable rain where I am at least through August 15 if not much longer. I'm 100% confident in that. No way I'll be wrong.
 
JHS said:
The 18z GFS looks awfully dry over much of VA and the Triad area in NC over the next 9 days and I'm willing to bet this extends much farther south and west than the model shows. CAD is NOT your friend if you want rain. Meanwhile the I-20 corridor will just continue to rack up. We will not get measurable rain where I am at least through August 15 if not much longer. I'm 100% confident in that. No way I'll be wrong.
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Wow you sure spring on the first bad model run often. Last 4 runs showed moisture coming to all the areas in abundant amounts.
 
JHS said:
The 18z GFS looks awfully dry over much of VA and the Triad area in NC over the next 9 days and I'm willing to bet this extends much farther south and west than the model shows. CAD is NOT your friend if you want rain. Meanwhile the I-20 corridor will just continue to rack up. We will not get measurable rain where I am at least through August 15 if not much longer. I'm 100% confident in that. No way I'll be wrong.
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I'm ok with that


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Do you ever feel like choking people??? " I only got 3" today", " look at me, I'm under a flood warning ", " no wait, I'm under a flood emergency " , " I wish it would stop raining" " only a tropical storm will save us" , etc
 
Storm5 said:
Can't wait for this weekend JHS!!!
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Not happening. Most of NC and upstate SC will be hard pressed to get a drop of rain through at least 9 days. Not just here, the entire area. This model is flat out wrong. Of course I-20 corridor will continue to rack up. Hopefully August brings a change, but I'm not betting on it.
 
JHS said:
Not happening. Most of NC and upstate SC will be hard pressed to get a drop of rain through at least 9 days. Not just here, the entire area. This model is flat out wrong. Of course I-20 corridor will continue to rack up. Hopefully August brings a change, but I'm not betting on it.
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Merry Christmas! Please think happy thoughts.
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JHS said:
Not happening. Most of NC and upstate SC will be hard pressed to get a drop of rain through at least 9 days. Not just here, the entire area. This model is flat out wrong. Of course I-20 corridor will continue to rack up. Hopefully August brings a change, but I'm not betting on it.
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can't wait . Fear not , we have you covered . The radar will be watched with a close eye over Jonesville this weekend

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It may be time I consider leaving this area and moving into AL or GA. This area is cursed.
 
3.64 inches of rain near Birmingham this afternoon in just over an hour . A daily record for the date

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GSP is now saying the weekend will be dry over our entire CWA. My call for no more rain in July and into August looks great. Enjoy your rain I-20 corridor. Sure hope we get something in the tropics soon to change this stupid dry pattern. Or get an August like 2007. Anything is better than this crap we have now.
 
JHS said:
GSP is now saying the weekend will be dry over our entire CWA. My call for no more rain in July and into August looks great. Enjoy your rain I-20 corridor. Sure hope we get something in the tropics soon to change this stupid dry pattern. Or get an August like 2007. Anything is better than this crap we have now.
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You must have missed the part where they are calling for " likely/ high " rain chances on Friday....

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Storm5 said:
You must have missed the part where they are calling for " likely/ high " rain chances on Friday....

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Just looking at the overnight models I wouldn't be shocked if the usual dry corridor gets shutout through at least midday Sunday. Too much NW flow and an actual cold front passage means no rain until you get to the I20 corridor. We need that trough to dig in and retrograde late in the weekend to early next week to get in on some goods. But meh, we can always hope

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SD said:
Just looking at the overnight models I wouldn't be shocked if the usual dry corridor gets shutout through at least midday Sunday. Too much NW flow and an actual cold front passage means no rain until you get to the I20 corridor. We need that trough to dig in and retrograde late in the weekend to early next week to get in on some goods. But meh, we can always hope

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I'd be willing to bet the GFS is overdone with precip with the cold frontal passage, seen that classic skip too many times....
 
SD said:
Just looking at the overnight models I wouldn't be shocked if the usual dry corridor gets shutout through at least midday Sunday. Too much NW flow and an actual cold front passage means no rain until you get to the I20 corridor. We need that trough to dig in and retrograde late in the weekend to early next week to get in on some goods. But meh, we can always hope

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We will have to see if the trough digs in as deep as the 00z gfs showed . Previous runs were not as deep offering better hope for some of the drier areas as the front would basically stall over the area. Of course if it's as deep as the 00z gfs showed it would no doubt push the front through reducing rain chances for that area

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Storm5 said:
12z gfs looks much better vs the 06z run for our Carolina friends
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Waiting on Shetley to run with the 18z GFS, when it shows dry
 
Radar blowing up over the Carolinas!















Sike! No rain for 500 miles either direction! :(
 
It's all west to northwest flow in the 12z Euro until day 10, so no rain here for a while. Will be a different story along I-77 and east though, especially from the Charlotte metro towards Florence SC and Wilmington NC.
 
JHS said:
It's all west to northwest flow in the 12z Euro until day 10, so no rain here for a while. Will be a different story along I-77 and east though, especially from the Charlotte metro towards Florence SC and Wilmington NC.
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I know its frustrating, but hang in there you'll get your rain
 
Glenn burns took a mighty bold leap last night saying he believes the hottest days of summer are behind us. Hmmm. Guess we'll see.


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