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Misc Jalapeño July

The true heat and drought conditions are and will remain in the middle of the country . Be thankful you don't live there
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SD said:
If this were to set up things would be good even here and in the upstate
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Yep this looks a good bit like how most of June looked. But it is a long way out. Northern GA and the southern mountains in NC would really rack up, but most of us would be wet enough. Except maybe east of I-95 in NC, being closer to that ridge.
 
JHS said:
Yep this looks a good bit like how most of June looked. But it is a long way out. Northern GA and the southern mountains in NC would really rack up, but most of us would be wet enough. Except maybe east of I-95 in NC, being closer to that ridge.
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Warm rain processes will be in full force. Not to mention the door being wide open for anything tropical.


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SD said:
If this were to set up things would be good even here and in the upstate
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You know it's desperate times when we are looking for fantasy rain like we do snow in the winter
 
Storm5 said:
The true heat and drought conditions are and will remain in the middle of the country . Be thankful you don't live there
d9418b53dfe8914ad6a8b2ef44a47963.png



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Boo lol but its pretty much normal here the excessive rain up to now has been very unusual
 
SD said:
Gotta love the surface low wedge look. Also, have to like how temps are backing down with the influence of the weak upper low keeping us from getting really hot
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Yeah, the 99s are off my forecast. 96-97 about all we get Fri/Sat
 
Hope some folks "up north" - say perhaps in Roanoke Rapids, Forsyth GA, Augusta, as well as upstate and central SC, get some heat prayers answered ... (Larry - looks like you're on the cusp) ...

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for down here, pullin' for that little Cedar Key BN ... LOL
 
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pcbjr said:
Hope some folks "up north" - say perhaps in Roanoke Rapids, Forsyth GA, Augusta, as well as upstate and central SC, get some heat prayers answered ...

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for down here, pullin' for that little Cedar Key BN ... LOL
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I've been seeing maps posted that look like this for the past 3 weeks or so, and all that actually seems to happen is, it gets hotter than balls everyday! :(
 
If you look at the precip for the last 14 days you can see the typical summer features at play with the seabreeze and piedmont trough keeping the eastern Carolinas wet and differential heating in the mountains. Unfortunately for JHS and myself the piedmont trough has set up just east of the black line. Typically it would be favoref about 50 miles west allowing us both to get some storms before they move off to the SE.
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SD said:
If you look at the precip for the last 14 days you can see the typical summer features at play with the seabreeze and piedmont trough keeping the eastern Carolinas wet and differential heating in the mountains. Unfortunately for JHS and myself the piedmont trough has set up just east of the black line. Typically it would be favoref about 50 miles west allowing us both to get some storms before they move off to the SE.
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A lucid and non-impassioned explanation ... worth its weight in gold ... :cool:
 
SD said:
If you look at the precip for the last 14 days you can see the typical summer features at play with the seabreeze and piedmont trough keeping the eastern Carolinas wet and differential heating in the mountains. Unfortunately for JHS and myself the piedmont trough has set up just east of the black line. Typically it would be favoref about 50 miles west allowing us both to get some storms before they move off to the SE.
164f48f28430b458cc2fc78492877fa5.jpg


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I remember that feature being more north-south than that some years though, giving more rain to the Triad and down towards Raleigh. This one is different, taking the good rains farther east in NC.
 
JHS said:
That map shows why I have not been happy for a while. All that rain in the southeast, but little to none here.
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Man, we choose to live where we live. For me, seeing snow in Valdosta or Waycross or even Lake City when it's 50º here, all less than an hour away, is disconcerting, but it is what it is; and, not worth losing sleep over. I made my choice of home.
As for you, it is always (usually) miserable in upstate SC this time of year, but y'all have some of the most incredible late falls that many would give a pound for. I do. I drive up there every November just to marvel. You also have a great home site. ;)
So -- here's hoping for some cheer. And, also for some genuine weather discussion and not the blues.
Phil
 
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JHS said:
I remember that feature being more north-south than that some years though, giving more rain to the Triad and down towards Raleigh. This one is different, taking the good rains farther east in NC.
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Yep i believe there was an old shear axis left just east of that line which probably biased convection east of what is climo normal


Itll be interesting to see if it can fire tomorrow and Thursday i have my doubts about tomorrow but Thursday might workout

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The 18z GFS was a major step in the wrong direction precip wise. Less than .50 over the upstate of SC over the next 16 days. This summer is going to end up like 2015 and 2016 for sure here. Need a tropical system to change it.
 
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