Pattern Its Gonna Be May

[Tarheel1]

There are no more areas of extreme drought in Iowa , as of last Thursday!
Think that’s the first time in 3 years it’s been irradicated! And regular bouts of showers and storms look to continue for the foreseeable future! Great for the farmed. 58% of the corn crop across the state has been planted as of yesterday! If you’re eating chips and salsa at your favor Mexican place, thank a farmer!

 

[SnowNiner]

During the recent 3 year La Niña, KCLT was above average on precip all the years.

Yeah I just don't think the warm winters and wet summers were seeing now are a coincidence. Both seem to be consistent aspects of our weather that used to be somewhat unusual.

 

[NCSNOW]

Raining Again this morning. Gonna have to sharpen those blades

 

[Chazwin]

Yeah I just don't think the warm winters and wet summers were seeing now are a coincidence. Both seem to be consistent aspects of our weather that used to be somewhat unusual.

Warmer SST’s in the Gulf and the western Atlantic means higher dewpoints and more moisture. I’ve had dewpoints get into the 80s a numbers of times the last several years and I don’t recall that ever happening before.

 

[FallsLake]

The GFS says we have a couple days of CAD setting up. Some support from the Euro and Canadian. Here's GFS surface temps late afternoon on Sunday:

The CAD pushes a little deeper on Monday into central SC.

 

[NCSNOW]

The GFS says we have a couple days of CAD setting up. Some support from the Euro and Canadian. Here's GFS surface temps late afternoon on Sunday:

The CAD pushes a little deeper on Monday into central

Que The Brickster: He loves Chilly Wet Cloudy weather , especially over the weekend

 

[Ross]

The GFS says we have a couple days of CAD setting up. Some support from the Euro and Canadian. Here's GFS surface temps late afternoon on Sunday:
View attachment 147750
The CAD pushes a little deeper on Monday into central SC.

savor this. guarantee when it's late july and we're staring down a 7 day of 95/77 we will remember these days fondly

 

[FallsLake]

This would be interesting. Eastern NC 20+ degrees cooler that places west of it.

12z GFS late afternoon on Monday:

 

[SD]

HRRR looks good this afternoon/evening
View attachment 051824.mp4

 

[Carolina Jones]

HRRR looks good this afternoon/evening
View attachment 147771

Would like to see some more clearing and sun to get the spark we usually need for storms.

 

[SD]

Would like to see some more clearing and sun to get the spark we usually need for storms.

You might be too far north tbh

 

[BHS1975]

You might be too far north tbh

Yeap the dry line will be shifting south this afternoon.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Rain Cold]

HRRR looks good this afternoon/evening
View attachment 147771

NAM WRFs FV3 RGEM all look good too.

 

[Carolina Jones]

Had a little sun so far today but it's been mostly cloudy here.

 

[Carolina Jones]

HRRR looks good this afternoon/evening
View attachment 147771

Doesn't seem to be happening.

 

[Rain Cold]

Yep, dry as a bone. Those darn weatherman busted again.

 

[SD]

Doesn't seem to be happening.

We are just now starting to get into better lift

 

[NCSNOW]

3 + new inches to go with Tuesdays 4 inches=7 for the week. Unreal. MBY has now had 3 of the past 6 months go over the 7-8 inch mark. Dec,Jan,May

 

[SD]

Lol

 

[jrips27]

Line really fizzled here as we lost some heating in the last hour. Not much other than some moderate rain thats delaying the start of the Braves game

 

[Carolina Jones]

Not even going to get rain here today after the forecast pretty much guaranteed it

 

[Carolina Jones]

We are just now starting to get into better lift

 

[SD]

View attachment 147776

You might be too far north tbh

 

[Carolina Jones]

I think there was a 90% chance of rain in the forecast today.

 

[SD]

I think there was a 90% chance of rain in the forecast today.

Confirmed

 

[RBR71]

ConfirmedView attachment 147777

Thank you

 

[EV/WS]

Heading to my brothers family around 5 in a 45MPH. Straddled my vehicle over what I thought was a pot hole. Realized it was a black snake. Turned around facing the opposite traffic. Hazard lights on. Carried him into nearby tall grass. Black snakes are awesome! Although he took a few swipes at me before I finally grasped him. Lol (approximately 6ft)

 

[GaWx]

Strong thunderstorms approaching my area.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Strong thunderstorms approaching my area.

How strong

 

[GaWx]

How strong

COD-NEXLAB : Dual-Pol Radar for CLX

Dual-Pol NEXRAD Data for provided by College of DuPage Meteorology (NEXLAB)

weather.cod.edu

 

[GaWx]

Strong thunderstorms approaching my area.

Now severe:


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
331 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2024

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF...
CHATHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
JASPER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 430 PM EDT.

* AT 331 PM EDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR GARDEN CITY TO FORT PULASKI NATIONAL MONUMENT,
MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...MINOR HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS POSSIBLE. EXPECT WIND
DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWERLINES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE:
POOLER, RICHMOND HILL, TYBEE ISLAND, WILMINGTON ISLAND, FORT
PULASKI NATIONAL MONUMENT, MIDTOWN SAVANNAH, DOWNTOWN SAVANNAH,
SAVANNAH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, I-16/I-95 INTERCHANGE, HUNTER ARMY
AIRFIELD, COFFEE BLUFF, GODLEY STATION, MONTGOMERY, GARDEN CITY,
AND PORT WENTWORTH.

 

[GaWx]

Strong thunderstorms approaching my area.

Though soon after this was severe warned for potential 60 mph wind gusts and 1” hail, I fortunately never saw anything close to that unlike the winds from the 4 hour long power outage causing prior severe warned storm of 10 days prior (5/9). Also the CTG lightning wasn’t bad. But the rain was very heavy for ~30 minutes producing the typical localized street flooding. Rain fell for ~2 hours total due to followup convection. I received a total of ~1.25” of beneficial rain yesterday.

 

[FallsLake]

Dew points on day 8. The farther we get into the warm season, the less likely to see refreshing air like below.

6z GFS:


This run actually has another cool down in early June. But the days are numbered until we go into the endless steam bath.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

headed back from Sevierville on Sunday afternoon. They don’t call them the smokies for nothing

 

[Tarheel1]

headed back from Sevierville on Sunday afternoon. They don’t call them the smokies for nothing View attachment 147810

Buc ees FTW!
The turnaround on the drought here has been amazing! The last two summers have been plagued with drought! Now the big 4 cities in Iowa are +2 to +6” for the month and the year!

 

[SD]

We might actually get the rare for these days mountains to coast storm complex Thursday if it doesn't choke itself out with outflow

 

[FallsLake]

6z GFS ~day 13. Looks like a great time for a Disney Worl vacation.



Remember a couple of years back the GFS kept spitting out maps like this. At that time, it was centered over South Carolina. Maybe it's right this time, or it's back to its old games.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

6z GFS ~day 13. Looks like a great time for a Disney Worl vacation.

View attachment 147826

Remember a couple of years back the GFS kept spitting out maps like this. At that time, it was centered over South Carolina. Maybe it's right this time, or it's back to its old games.

That’s pretty insane. 100 in Orlando and 70 in Tallahasssee.

 

[WFFaithful]

HRRR shows little rain over the next 2 days.

 

[FallsLake]

HRRR shows little rain over the next 2 days.

Latest 3k NAM has this (12z at hr 46 totals - early Saturday morning):

Looks like typical thunderstorm totals, where if you get under one you can do well.