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Tropical Hurricane Nate

Confusing to me. Anyone care to explain ?

A Tropical Storm Warning means Tropical storm wind conditions are
expected somewhere within this area and within the next 36 hours

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Rome

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Tropical storm force winds remain
possible
- Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph
 
For some reason I was thinking that winds had to be sustained at 39mph for there to be a TS Warning but I guess all you need is a 40 mph wind gust.
 
Confusing to me. Anyone care to explain ?

A Tropical Storm Warning means Tropical storm wind conditions are
expected somewhere within this area and within the next 36 hours

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Rome

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Tropical storm force winds remain
possible
- Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph
The thought is since it is tropical related, that the procedure would be to use the tropical suite of products to avoid confusing the public (ala Sandy), however I also think FFC is using the conservative side of guidance
 
The county to my west ( Cleburne County, AL) is under a TS Warning. I'm under a TS Watch. The county to my southeast ( Coweta County, GA) is not under a watch or warning. So it goes from a TS Warning to no watch or warning in just about 30 miles or so.
 
Looks like most of the impact will be the coast and MS/AL. I am doubtful we see the 3+" of rain forecast here in Cherokee.


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We are forecast to receive several inches of rain well inland in Alabama. I haven't followed the other states, but a good chunk of Alabama should get some good rain from Nate.
 
Nate's overall appearance has degraded the past few hours due to the combination increasing southwesterly wind shear and cooler, shallow shelf waters immediately adjacent to the Gulf coast and consequently the most recent dropsonde into the eastern semi circle of the circulation revealed no instantaneous winds above 78 kt from 850 hPa to the surface....
 
Even tho Nate is 50 miles or so away from landfall, theres a nice blowup around the center. If that continues, it may slightly gain little strength at landfall.
 
Looks like it's taking a quick NE turn already on radar! May miss LA all together ( the eye)
 
I suspect it's gonna ride the eastern part of the " cone"
 
Clearly weakening. Recon can't even find hurricane force winds
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