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Hurricane Debby

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Wilmington looks like it's going to get training lightning.

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Pressure went down 1 mb.

5:00 AM EDT Wed Aug 7
Location: 31.9°N 79.5°W
Moving: E at 5 mph
Min pressure: 995 mb
Max sustained: 45 mph


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The last couple hours, there’s definitely some thunderstorms starting to flare up close to the center. Also if you notice that band of convection on the east side of the storm, that’s a signature I’ve always seemed to notice with strengthening tropical storms
Seems like she is gonna try but the inner core is completely gone and the center is very broad...and very dead so she has a ton of work to do. If she does flare up on the east side it may tug her further east though and move landfall up the coast which could buy her another 12 or so hrs over water.
 
Seems like she is gonna try but the inner core is completely gone and the center is very broad...and very dead so she has a ton of work to do. If she does flare up on the east side it may tug her further east though and move landfall up the coast which could buy her another 12 or so hrs over water.

I think you’ve lost the Cape Fear ICON solution from 48 hours ago.
 
Seems like she is gonna try but the inner core is completely gone and the center is very broad...and very dead so she has a ton of work to do. If she does flare up on the east side it may tug her further east though and move landfall up the coast which could buy her another 12 or so hrs over water.
It needed to sit over the gulf stream for a few days like Dennis did but its over shallow shelf water thats cooling down with the rain and clouds and breeze
 
All the HIRES guidance insist convection developing today and wrapping around the center to the western side of Debby. Somehow, Debby snuck into an area of 29°C SSTs and the areas of dry air are shrinking aloft. (She looks more subtropical than tropical, actually).

We shall see if it plays out like the HIRES guidance rolls, but they are practically all in line with each other developing a profilic band on the western side and more bands rotating around...
 
Pressure went down 1 mb.

5:00 AM EDT Wed Aug 7
Location: 31.9°N 79.5°W
Moving: E at 5 mph
Min pressure: 995 mb
Max sustained: 45 mph


032134_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
Seems they keep slowing down the timing with it coming on shore. I thought Thursdsy was supposed to be the worst day here but now looks like it won't be here until Friday.
 
GSP has really pushed totals up to 3-6” from Spartanburg county and west. 1-4” from Anderson and Pickens to the Spartanburg county line.
 
This roughly 10; 30ish future radar

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Then by 2:30
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So well should see the western side start getting heavier dbz,blossoming in next hour or 2. If this is gonna verify
 
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