Henry2326
Member
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Hurricane Debby
- Thread starter Brent
- Start date
I wonder why the WPC and the local NWS vary so much? The WPC must be taking an average which includes the GFS which is likely wrong. Like I said yesterday a line from Greenwood to Union to Gastonia and east get big rain. Less than an inch west of there.
6z AI euro stayed consistent with its track. I keep bringing it up because the track is actually a solid compromise between the gfs and the other models and it hasn't wavered since Saturday now the 12z UK has jumped into a similar track. Obviously a model can be consistently wrong but it's worth watching
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Wow the models were way off in Georgia unless the precip builds back westward. I don't think Albany has had much of anything and they were forecast to get 3-4". Almost all the precip is east of I-75.
Very much agreed. We always see models greatly underestimate how far west the rain goes.
Some street flooding hopefully not much more rain to go or I may have made a bad choice. 
I don’t think the WPC is taking the GFS to account in their forecast… I read their discussion earlier and it pretty much discounted it. I’m not sure I can recall seeing that much of disparity between the WPC and GSP’s maps.
snowc
Member
Oh, i thought the whamby thread was separate from the banter thread. Thanks!
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
The sun is out here lol. No rain so far and a gust maybe of 10mph. They cancelled school for this ?
lexxnchloe
Member
Where in GA?
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I am in Southwest Georgia (Americus). It's turning out to be a beautiful day here with a nice little breeze.
lexxnchloe
Member
Yea thats ridiculous and overkill to close anything there.
12z euro is close to the 0z center at 90 hrs is along the nc/sc border between Marlboro and Scotland county
SC landfall was around garden city beach, murrels inlet
Total precip through 102 below. It flips to a LOT precip signature once inland so the heaviest rain is the US1 corridor from CAE to around sanford and west
SC landfall was around garden city beach, murrels inlet
Total precip through 102 below. It flips to a LOT precip signature once inland so the heaviest rain is the US1 corridor from CAE to around sanford and west
It would increase the wind threat in a box from RDU to CAE to CHS to Morehead city where it has sustained winds of 20-30kt so these areas are probably gusting 25-40kt
HugeSnowStick
Member
Some feeder bands are setting up east of ATL Metro, flying to the WNW.
NCSNOW
Member
This thing keeps moving short term at this rate,its gonna get back out over water a lot sooner than originally thought. So to me thats the question when an exactly where it hits the stall. Netting 8 miles an hour, so thats 172 miles in 24 hours, which will get it back over water tonight
Downeastnc
Member
Yeah it's hard to tell but seems like a lot of east component to it since landfall, official NHC track brings it back out over the Atlantic around the SC/GA border in roughly 24 hrs. It's definitely on the southern edge of the cone from last night.
The center is only 90ish miles from Jacksonville..and should be back over water around the FL/GA border sometime tonight if it kept this course.
coldfront22
Member
What are we thinking for Wilmington? 10-12 inches, possible more?
Euro wind maps seem to always be overdone inland.