currently thinking this might be the winner. but we shall see!
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Wintry Griteater Contest 3.0
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
ah ok! had thought they were already having mixing issues early on, but yeah looks like at least 3 inches there and still snowing a bit. but i do notttt trust they'll get to the almost 7 inches i put down lol
astroworld123
Member
Oak city
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LickWx
Member
Go hang out at the bus station, bus station snowball fight
Oak city
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Greensboro looks like it will add to their total tomorrow so I may nail both Raleigh and there.
rburrel2
Member
Looks like the RDU airport officially recorded 2.0 inches off .19 of liquid. I assumed it was much higher based off the reports in here.
TreyAustin
Member
I agree.
2.5 inches per the latest WRAL update on totals in the area
Probably struggled to stick there early on given how warm they run there. Kidding but also maybe not really.
Par for the course. Official readings are normally taken in horrible locations. More times than not they are not the best reflection of what happened
rburrel2
Member
Here's a link to the station recording info:
Seems like they just didn't get enough liquid at the airport. No reason to think ratio's should have been more than 10:1 there.
Either way, I'm happy because me guess was 2.0. hehe
Seems like they just didn't get enough liquid at the airport. No reason to think ratio's should have been more than 10:1 there.
Either way, I'm happy because me guess was 2.0. hehe
Saw a report out of both Chesapeake and Norfolk of 10.3in as of 10:30pm, impressive stuff
Belle Lechat
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Last edited:
SimeonNC
Member
6z NAM says the entire Piedmont region of NC get snow showers
I just realized totals will include anything falling with the fun event today. Might make a difference on the winner. Interesting..
This morning event is going to take the leader last night into a middle of the pack score probably. This was a good contest. Rare two day event
This may be asking a lot grit but just for fun when you tally the scores and we see a list of scores and leaders sfter day 1 then make a final tally list with days 1 & 2 combined for final scoring?
weather bubba
Member
Will today's snowfall from the frontal band be added to yesterday's to determine the totals that will be used in the contest? I'm assuming they will but just wanted to make sure.
Yes. Mentioned it in the first line of the contest write up, but TLDR so I should have added a specific post to emphasize that
Well I didn’t win but I made top part of the charts. Congrats
ive only ever heard of two of these towns, but congrats to them all!
Snowfall Actuals:
Data wise, the only issue I had was at Elizabeth City Coast Guard Air Station which had an "M" (Missing) snow report for 2/19. I looked at the data at that site back to Jan 2018, and there were only 2 other days where the Snowfall column reported an "M" (2/3/19 and 4/30/22). So, probably their biggest snow in many years, yet they 'chose' not to report on this day, haha.
In lieu of that, I used this COCORAHS report of 6.5 for Elizabeth City from 8AM on 2/20. No snow was reported at that site for the afternoon of 2/20 - there were a few Trace reports in that area for that timeframe, but no measurable snow.
Data wise, the only issue I had was at Elizabeth City Coast Guard Air Station which had an "M" (Missing) snow report for 2/19. I looked at the data at that site back to Jan 2018, and there were only 2 other days where the Snowfall column reported an "M" (2/3/19 and 4/30/22). So, probably their biggest snow in many years, yet they 'chose' not to report on this day, haha.
In lieu of that, I used this COCORAHS report of 6.5 for Elizabeth City from 8AM on 2/20. No snow was reported at that site for the afternoon of 2/20 - there were a few Trace reports in that area for that timeframe, but no measurable snow.
We had 57 contestants. Here are the forecasts with some stats at the bottom. The average of all forecasts performed superbly except at Norfolk
Top 5 and a top 10 BACK TO BACK? I’m officially seeking meteorological employment
Sorry Jimmy, I sent out the actual forecasts first and not the results. Haha. You finished 40th! But I was even worse
In the future, we need to do this again and call it the “SouthernWx Ensemble Forecasting System” and send out our average prediction to people everywhere. We nailed it better than most Mets and models! All hail the wisdom of crowds!!!
(Although I’m not so sure it went so well with the first storm, haha.)
Idk why I didn’t stick to my call map for the contest NickyB still had me rattled from last month
NickyB still had me rattled from last month
The convection robbing bombs going off in the gulf thru me for a loop. I'm going to blame it on thatIdk why I didn’t stick to my call map for the contest
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Congrats guys.... Needless to say I thought all of yall east of GSO would underperform . Also have models changed for the better i remember reading you should ALWAYS only take like 30% of what a map output is? Truly asking is that not a thing anymore ?
. Also have models changed for the better i remember reading you should ALWAYS only take like 30% of what a map output is? Truly asking is that not a thing anymore ?
Yes. There are a lot of ways to cope with this one.
Lurked here for a long time, and appreciate the insight everyone has into these storms. Really enjoy these forecasting contests, it's always fun to try and forecast for areas I'm not as familiar with. Definitely takes a good bit of luck to do well.
I am able to accept the winnings assuming the numbers hold up. Would love to put some of it back into the pot for future contests to keep this going
I am able to accept the winnings assuming the numbers hold up. Would love to put some of it back into the pot for future contests to keep this going
weather bubba
Member
Another top ten finish but no cigar. I'm going to win one of these one day. Congratulations to NCHusker!
He went the reverse psychology route. It was a well thought out effort and I’ve got to respect it.
Exactly...I took one for the team...atleast that's I'm going to hold onto
