Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Wow, must be nice.Holy moly! I snagged this off the NWS Raleigh’s latest briefing.
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(Yeah I'm jealous)
Wow, must be nice.Holy moly! I snagged this off the NWS Raleigh’s latest briefing.
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NWS Raleigh website hasn't updated yet, but here's what they're thinking. Wow.
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OMG. Must keep calm. Gotta stay cautiously optimistic. Must. Keep. Calm.Holy moly! I snagged this off the NWS Raleigh’s latest briefing.
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You get a job at NWS RAH you didn't tell us about, Brick?
Bingo. RAH don't predict 12-18'' ever.You get a job at NWS RAH you didn't tell us about, Brick?![]()
I had to do a double-check to make sure I wasn't confusing you with someone else. You are...bullish????I would not be shocked at all to see subzero temps over a large part of SC and NC for at least 1, if not 2 nights. I think if we get the snow, the coldest night since 1985 is likely for many of us. Someone in NC is going to get 12-18 inches of snow I think, with at least 2-4 in parts of almost every county in both states.
I honestly kind of can't believe their map. I'm an insufferable weenie and even I don't think I would've put that map out with totals that high today. Makes me think they know something we don't to go that bold that early.Bingo. RAH don't predict 12-18'' ever.
That is, until now.![]()
I hope I haven't jinxed it. I still remember the Dec 2000 miss. An upper low failed to capture the coastal low, leaving many of us without snow. I-95 and east racked up though.I had to do a double-check to make sure I wasn't confusing you with someone else. You are...bullish????![]()
Who got them 40:1 maps?Yimmy,
Hope you got some new knickers today! View attachment 190793





Hoping we can pull out some magic under the ULL. Looks to be our only shot.Yet *another* event where Atlanta is on the edge of getting something interesting. Seems to be the theme this year.
I am hoping for 3-4 and I would be a happy man, I am not going to be greedy.sry for the banter in the storm thread. Meant to put it here. But it needed to be said.
reasonableI am hoping for 3-4 and I would be a happy man, I am not going to be greedy.
I’ve been burnt befor by an ULL down there!! Watched it flurry for 4 hours with the sun visible through the overcast and get 1/2” , instead of the 4-8” I was supposed to get!sry for the banter in the storm thread. Meant to put it here. But it needed to be said.
Ok, I try to be realistic and not get too up or down. However, I have in the back of my mind that our energy is going to trend negatively and the precip is going to dwindle down to less than .25” of precip.
Somebody talk me down please![]()
Even if true... that's 4 inches of dry fairy dust powder. A great event!Ok, I try to be realistic and not get too up or down. However, I have in the back of my mind that our energy is going to trend negatively and the precip is going to dwindle down to less than .25” of precip.
Somebody talk me down please![]()
I’ve been burnt befor by an ULL down there!! Watched it flurry for 4 hours with the sun visible through the overcast and get 1/2” , instead of the 4-8” I was supposed to get!![]()

Ok, I try to be realistic and not get too up or down. However, I have in the back of my mind that our energy is going to trend negatively and the precip is going to dwindle down to less than .25” of precip.
Somebody talk me down please![]()
I wish I could but I don't have the met skills to back it up. Hope you get another Feb 2004 though.Ok, I try to be realistic and not get too up or down. However, I have in the back of my mind that our energy is going to trend negatively and the precip is going to dwindle down to less than .25” of precip.
Somebody talk me down please![]()
That one was also done in by warm BL temps (above freezing), terrible diurnal timing (daytime in March for a lot of the precip for areas that got the shaft...Sanford area got fortunate with nightime banding as you see in the map), and warm soil temperatures. When you have warm soil temps + sun angle + above freezing BL temps, you really need consistent, heavy rates to overcome that, and March 2010 had uneven precip that wasn't necessarily all that heavy in many places (with exceptions as the map above shows). Give that storm to us with the soil / air temps and diurnal timing progged with this one and everyone would do a lot better and there would be a lot less splotchy accumulations.View attachment 190819
Sounds like my experience during this one. I was home in Charlotte on Spring Break and I think they were calling for 2-5 locally. Might be the same storm.
yall posting the NAM like it’s gospel is cracking me up. We all know what happens when we get nammed lol
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Brick says only 12-18'' so that's a no go. Maybe could chase to Roxboro though.My reasonable expectation for this storm is 19.25” in my backyard with turkey feathers flying. I expect no less.