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Misc General Banter Thread

cyclogent said:
Worst case scenario: everything on the maps is fake output generated by some internet hacker tryhard. Like, just kidding it's just a 1024mb hp and a 50 degree rainstorm. Gotcha suckers.
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Worst case scenario is uk met some how turns into a tornado outbreak for my area while everyone else gets winter
 
One would have to think the most extreme runs won't verify. I fully expect a drier, warmer system that whats being projected. Historic High pressure? I would also expect the snow line to be more in line with the Canadian and UKMET. Hopefully sleet will save the day for my backyard. Couple of inches of snow with 3 inches of sleet and a tenth or 2 crust on top would lock in for a week of not getting out of my house. I just don't want to lose power!
 
Everyone is now buying stuff for storm, and the whole servers are going bezerk!
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Bigedd09 said:
I’m sorry but I don’t see how we escape this with a cold rain. Some models have the precip starting in 3 days! I’ve seen strong high pressures in the 7-10 day range get much weaker but we’re 3 days away. It definitely could trend weaker but I don’t think it will trend enough to yield a cold rain


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Our back yard seems right on the line of all snow in many of the runs (Euro/AIFS especially). I expect though that as soon as the NAM gets into good range, we sleet/ZR pretty good. But I still think we get a good front end hit of snow. I don't see a way we straight rain right now, IMO. Weenie is hoping though the NAM sees even more CAD and it'll cancel out.

packfan98 said:
Anyone else think that when we finally get into the NAM wheelhouse that it's going to show a blowtorch warm nose for everyone outside of the Northern Foothills and Virginia???
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No matter the globals, even with great runs up to 2 days away, fear the warm nose on the NAM. Killer. But for MBY it's still going to be frozen in some shape or form I think.

SD said:
Still out, see you at the bottom
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Bro, you don't think you're getting frozen out of this? Confused what you're out on. Reversion to ice?
 
wow said:
These model runs are roller coasters.. Start great with the GFS/AI, agony with the CMC/UKMET, and back to good vibes with the Euro/AIFS
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What is your worst case scenario for the Charlotte and surrounding areas as far as a bust goes. I know ice is bad.
 
packfan98 said:
One would have to think the most extreme runs won't verify. I fully expect a drier, warmer system that whats being projected. Historic High pressure? I would also expect the snow line to be more in line with the Canadian and UKMET. Hopefully sleet will save the day for my backyard. Couple of inches of snow with 3 inches of sleet and a tenth or 2 crust on top would lock in for a week of not getting out of my house. I just don't want to lose power!
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Agreed. History tells us a lot about the most likely scenarios. That’s why I like to look at ensembles (mix of members as well as the means) this far out (4-6 days).
 
SnowNiner said:
Our back yard seems right on the line of all snow in many of the runs (Euro/AIFS especially). I expect though that as soon as the NAM gets into good range, we sleet/ZR pretty good. But I still think we get a good front end hit of snow. I don't see a way we straight rain right now, IMO. Weenie is hoping though the NAM sees even more CAD and it'll cancel out.



No matter the globals, even with great runs up to 2 days away, fear the warm nose on the NAM. Killer. But for MBY it's still going to be frozen in some shape or form I think.



Bro, you don't think you're getting frozen out of this? Confused what you're out on. Reversion to ice?
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Yeah for sure , this seems like the typical major winter storm for our area. Front end thump changing to sleet and freezing rain then maybe back to snow at the end


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packfan98 said:
One would have to think the most extreme runs won't verify. I fully expect a drier, warmer system that whats being projected. Historic High pressure? I would also expect the snow line to be more in line with the Canadian and UKMET. Hopefully sleet will save the day for my backyard. Couple of inches of snow with 3 inches of sleet and a tenth or 2 crust on top would lock in for a week of not getting out of my house. I just don't want to lose power!
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until the euro op and euro Ai step over to the can and ukmet side . I'm not concerned. What's catching my attn is how stubborn an dug in all are with their solutions. Should see a pendulum swing here soon. Id blow GFS side off / lightening speed. But the AI's all tend to handle the Baja, the way its handling it. Euro op and eps should lend a clue here in a few. I'm least worried about frzng rn. Its sleet cutting down snow accums and qpf staying 1.25+ for the event. Time to win big for a change.
 
Birds and deer super active last few days. Old timers used to know whats coming by looking at small signs like animal movements
 
Feels like clt is headed towards a sleet / ice fest with minimal if any snow. Sucks to squander an opportunity like this only for Va to score.
 
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