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Misc General Banter Thread

WxBlue said:
To be blunt, rain is not looking for NC and most of SC due to the strength of CAD. Arctic high is continuing to trend stronger each run of model suites.
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I get that but what we are seeing on the models does not see realistic. I feel like we can cut those totals by 50-60 percent or more. We have had plenty of storms we have lost in this time period and they go poof. What, if anything makes that change now.
 
I live in the upstate of SC north of 85 near travelers rest - really curious about what we should be prepared for here. Relatively new to the area (grew up in Florida tracking hurricanes.) Realistically speaking if we get mostly snow in this area is power loss still a real concern? I think my area got 6 inches in 2022 and we didn’t lose power but I know this is different. I know if it trends to more ice it’s lights out but just curious what to expect with the more snowy solutions that are currently being modeled for our area. Have 3 young kiddos so want to make sure I’m as prepared as possible!
 
Good morning, all. I can't believe I'm up and at it after staying up for King Euro. I guess I'll take naps between the end of the EURO runs and the next NAM runs, lol.

I was almost afraid to look, but after a quick look over at the 6Z models, Boom!

Milk, bread, and beer run is on tap after I slam down some coffee.
 
sflan said:
I live in the upstate of SC north of 85 near travelers rest - really curious about what we should be prepared for here. Relatively new to the area (grew up in Florida tracking hurricanes.) Realistically speaking if we get mostly snow in this area is power loss still a real concern? I think my area got 6 inches in 2022 and we didn’t lose power but I know this is different. I know if it trends to more ice it’s lights out but just curious what to expect with the more snowy solutions that are currently being modeled for our area. Have 3 young kiddos so want to make sure I’m as prepared as possible!
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If anybody can stay all or mostly snow in the upstate it’s Travelers Rest. You are in the honey hole. Draw a line from there to Landrum. That’s the SC snow belt. You’ve got a legit shot at staying mostly snow/sleet. But ZR is not out of the question yet
 
TigerSnow said:
We’ve lost storms before in this range. I’ve lived through 2 ice storms and I’m happy to never do that again.
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Yeah. Unfortunately this isn’t a marginal wedge. Highly anomolous wedge rotating in.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
If anybody can stay all or mostly snow in the upstate it’s Travelers Rest. You are in the honey hole. Draw a line from there to Landrum. That’s the SC snow belt. You’ve got a legit shot at staying mostly snow/sleet. But ZR is not out of the question yet
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I went to Furman. It definitely made a difference and we weren’t even all the way to TR.
 
I have a si king feeling we get screwed in clt again and see 99% sleet. Hope I’m wrong but us being on the line 96hr out never bodes well for us. Will be sick to my stomach if we waste an opportunity like this for a historic snow with ******* sleet.
 
I have a sinking feeling we get screwed in clt again and see 99% sleet. Hope I’m wrong but us being on the line 96hr out never bodes well for us. Will be sick to my stomach if we waste an opportunity like this for a historic snow with ******* sleet.
 
DopplerWx said:
I have a si king feeling we get screwed in clt again and see 99% sleet. Hope I’m wrong but us being on the line 96hr out never bodes well for us. Will be sick to my stomach if we waste an opportunity like this for a historic snow with ******* sleet.
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Al Conklin is saying Rain for Charlotte is a possibility…. Like plain Rain. Dude why do they do that just to decrease hype ?


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RBR71 said:
Snow footprint wobbles north and south, and I'm squarely in the middle the every time. Gonna hurt, seriously hurt when it finally yanks it north or south. No way this holds for this long lol
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Kind of feel the same way for Triad area. Going on 36 hours of bombs, at some point we’ve got to catch a bad model run, one would think.
 
I just have a hard time believing any of this verified come game time. We are talking about crazy numbers, we always say to pause so maybe it’s time we do that. We are still almost 4 days out and we can have lots of changes.
 
TigerSnow said:
I just have a hard time believing any of this verified come game time. We are talking about crazy numbers, we always say to pause so maybe it’s time we do that. We are still almost 4 days out and we can have lots of changes.
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Yea I get the excitement but it’s still Tuesday. Long way until Friday night.
 
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Milk is still in stock here right now @ Walmart. Could change in the next few days.
 
I haven’t watched the Weather Channel in ages but turned it on just for kicks. They’re really honking the horn for Texas through Virginia
 
I feel like a lot the models aren’t necessarily trending north. They’re just expanding the snow north. With the exception of the 6z EPS


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I remember the last big ice storm in the midlands. There was no power from basically Sumter through Lake City on the 378 corridor. Never been so cold in my life. I was still living way out in the county, nothing around for miles on end. What a terrible time.
 
ChrisAMB said:
Yea I get the excitement but it’s still Tuesday. Long way until Friday night.
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I understand both of these comments…. But the good ones show themselves early. This much agreement has only happened 5x or less in my 20yrs doing this for fun. Yea the numbers are out there (Maybe) but if you’re along and N/W of I-85 from Clemson to Richmond I’d really really be zoned in. Someone in that area is going 15-20” idk who obviously but someone. HOWEVER, if we lose it, it will be today and Tomm by 18Z runs. If it’s still locked by 18Z Tomm we’re probably good. Even still I think

Upstate - Raleigh (N/W) is locked into a Winter Storm Warning event regardless


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I’m sorry but I don’t see how we escape this with a cold rain. Some models have the precip starting in 3 days! I’ve seen strong high pressures in the 7-10 day range get much weaker but we’re 3 days away. It definitely could trend weaker but I don’t think it will trend enough to yield a cold rain


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Bigedd09 said:
I feel like a lot the models aren’t necessarily trending north. They’re just expanding the snow north. With the exception of the 6z EPS


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That's what I've seen. The precip shield is going north, but you're seeing the CAD trend even stronger so far at least.
 
CltNative90 said:
Followed Jimmys lead and ordered a generator on Amazon. Powersmart 4400-watt Inverter. Didn’t have time to do a ton of research, but I’m hoping it can at least power an appliance or two and a heater.
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Good call. When it rains we can always send it back. lol

Better to have and not need than need and not have
 
DopplerWx said:
I have a sinking feeling we get screwed in clt again and see 99% sleet. Hope I’m wrong but us being on the line 96hr out never bodes well for us. Will be sick to my stomach if we waste an opportunity like this for a historic snow with ******* sleet.
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Honestly, if I could get ~2" QPF and have it all sleet (6"), I would take that in a heartbeat. Heavy/pure sleet storms are amazing.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Good call. When it rains we can always send it back. lol

Better to have and not need than need and not have
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I think it’s a good investment even if this trends away from the apocalypse. Even if it’s not freezing rain and ends up snow or sleet in my area I fear rolling outages are going to be a real problem next week due to high demand on the power grid.
 
For the RDU folks, I think at this point we'll be dealing with another transition line (maybe) through Wake County. We seem to always have that for winter storms. But, I think it'll be snow to sleet. We just want to stay away from the freezing rain.
 
Anyone else think that when we finally get into the NAM wheelhouse that it's going to show a blowtorch warm nose for everyone outside of the Northern Foothills and Virginia???
 
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