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Misc General Banter Thread

Alias47 said:
I'm in North Alabama and I know this isn't our storm. However, do I need to ramp up any supplies? Not really wanting to spend any extra money this week, if not necessary.
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I'm down the road from you and what I am reading it sounds like not a bad idea for us to start grabbing a few things now to beat the crowd. In central AL, the hint of flurries puts a run on the groceries stores.
 
CAE KEY MESSAGE NUMBER 2...


Key Message 2: Model guidance continues to trend towards a
potentially significant winter storm this weekend. Uncertainty is
high especially with regards to precipitation types, amounts, and
duration. However, model consistency is increasing.

The key message for this weekend remains largely unchanged. Model
guidance continues to point to a synoptic setup that favors
potentially significant winter weather across our forecast area on
Saturday and Sunday. Over the last 36 hours, model guidance has
uniformly trended towards showing a robust, near climatological max
Arctic surface high pressure pushing into the northern Plains and
Great Lakes states by Friday of this week. This surface high may be
on the order of 1048-1052 mb, with the surface high looking
expansive across the OH Valley and Mid-Atlantic region by this time.
Physics-based models showed the strength of this first, and now AI
guidance is beginning to trend in this direction as well over the
last couple of runs. This surface high is likely to be fostered
initially by a strong branch of the northern Jet stream & an
expansive area of strong subsidence extending from the central
plains into the Mid-Atlantic. As we head into the weekend,
guidance continues to indicate that a strong cold-air damming
event will setup beneath a coupling of the northern & southern
streams of the jet stream. Pacific moisture will stream
northeastward within the favorable right entrance region of the
jet streak, potentially setting us up for a long duration
overrunning event atop the very cold surface wedge. There are a
couple of things that lend to increasing confidence in a winter
event this weekend: the strength of the surface high & the
synoptic scale pattern, and guidance across the board is in
relatively good agreement on these two features despite this
event still being several days away.

There are a lot of failure modes with any sort of winter weather
event, especially in the southern and southeastern CONUS. The
surface high could be slightly weaker or stronger, the jet streak
could amplify faster than is currently forecast, etc. However, from
a pattern recognition standpoint, this is a robust signal that
guidance is showing and it must be treated as such. WSSI-P values
for Minor and Moderate impacts from a winter storm have increased
over the last 24 hours, increasing confidence as well. We will need
to keep a close eye on guidance trends over the next couple of days
as an impactful winter storm could be on tap this weekend.
 
Ok, I’ve tried to keep up for years as a lurker since Feb 2014 (my first forum event) can someone like @wow @Grit explain for our area …. I’m trying to remember so we want that Baja left alone or we want it grabbed ? Sorry I should know this by now but don’t


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Whoever is on the snow sector of this system will probably get 12-16 inches. Would be feeling really good if I was right along the NC/VA border up through Richmond.

Not feeling good here however. I don't want to lose power for a week or more, but it's starting to look more like a reality.
 
Drizzle Snizzle said:
This could be the Greatest Winter Storm of All-Time in the Southeast. Even greater than the 1993 Storm of the Century. 👀
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No way. This seems to affect the northern half of the south where as 93 was deeper into the south. It wouldn’t surprise me if it all trends north of everyone or the very northern fridges of the “south” end up all ice.
 
I should mention it's been the hottest winter on record here up til this point and now we're staring down possibly one of the biggest snowstorms ever here

You can't even make this stuff up
 
Brent said:
I should mention it's been the hottest winter on record here up til this point and now we're staring down possibly one of the biggest snowstorms ever here

You can't even make this stuff up
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The "Winter of Extremes". This winter will be remembered for a very long time
 
I wasn’t alive until 91’ but my dad always said that’s the one he remembers trying to get to Cannon Mills in Kannapolis for work and getting stuck an walking ect lol


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