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Misc General Banter Thread

GEFS fired its warning shot, number 21, gulf coast special. That would have a bigger melt than the cutter.
 
Arcc said:
GEFS fired its warning shot, number 21, gulf coast special. That would have a bigger melt than the cutter.
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I can accept a cutter, but that solution might be the end of my lifelong interest in weather if it happened.
 
yep; the euro just shifted the snow north and ice north, maybe bamwx wasn't so crazy

things are finally making sense

it'll be gone tomorrow for us down here in cae
 

weather nerd said:
me thinks it will be over soon guys; go ahead and get some sleep
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🤣
It'll be all over soon... there's a whole week left for this one.
And I don't think this will disappear quickly.
Lots of time to see where this one goes.
If your ticker is fragile, come back on Wednesday to see where this one is headed.

1000012857-png.185445
 
I don't think the storm is going anywhere. There is going to be a winter storm here. Question is how much snow and how much ice. Hope the Euro is wrong with the ice and all the other models with all the snow here is right. But it is the Euro.
 
I cant remember the last time I saw this forecast a week out, 2014 maybe!



Friday Night
A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Saturday Night
A chance of rain and snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday
A 40 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32.
 
On that note the NWS has drastically changed their forecast for the weekend just based on temps. Earlier today Sunday had temps in the 50's. Wished I would have screen shotted it now.
 
HDGator said:
🤣
It'll be all over soon... there's a whole week left for this one.
And I don't think this will disappear quickly.
Lots of time to see where this one goes.
If your ticker is fragile, come back on Wednesday to see where this one is headed.

1000012857-png.185445
Click to expand...

as long as cae is removed from the ice im good
 
I've gone from mid 30s to low 20s for highs here Saturday in one update

TWC has a high of 16 already. The Euro had 7
 
d2782cd31b96ecdee2a103da5d47d12e.jpg

Goodness GSP already going with the all weekend extended event. This is the one boys (By the one, I mean MAJOR event IMPACTFUL event, not just snow)


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It still looks like a classic winter storm for the CAD regions. NC will have tons of snow, sleet and ice. My area should remain mostly if not completely rain, which is fine by me! Hoping to score some 2"+ totals to help with the drought!
 
Lol let's throw out every model, even the ukmet if it has rain

Model agreement breaking down at such an anomaly. Hm
 
weather nerd said:
Lol let's throw out every model, even the ukmet if it has rain

Model agreement breaking down at such an anomaly. Hm
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No, my point from last week is being proven in real time. EURO an its family of Ensembles show a huge event and its already in point forecast and Mets ect talking about it 5 days out. It proves what I said last week ….. if the EURO says something it’s gospel regardless if it’s Dr No or Dr Extreme like this. No one is taking GFS seriously, they didn’t last week and they won’t this week. Unless my other point is proven where local Mets just find the warmest / driest model and run with it the the hypocritical theory I mentioned will come in and where they’ll all turn on their beloved EURO this week after riding it into the sunset this past weekend


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WolfpackHomer91 said:
No, my point from last week is being proven in real time. EURO an its family of Ensembles show a huge event and its already in point forecast and Mets ect talking about it 5 days out. It proves what I said last week ….. if the EURO says something it’s gospel regardless if it’s Dr No or Dr Extreme like this. No one is taking GFS seriously, they didn’t last week and they won’t this week. Unless my other point is proven where local Mets just find the warmest / driest model and run with it the the hypocritical theory I mentioned will come in and where they’ll all turn on their beloved EURO this week after riding it into the sunset this past weekend


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Yeah, you’re going to need to have the Euro back away for next weekend to be called into question in the SE.

The AI models may be decent, but I think they were off on temps initially for what just passed.
 
WolfpackHomer91 said:
No, my point from last week is being proven in real time. EURO an its family of Ensembles show a huge event and its already in point forecast and Mets ect talking about it 5 days out. It proves what I said last week ….. if the EURO says something it’s gospel regardless if it’s Dr No or Dr Extreme like this. No one is taking GFS seriously, they didn’t last week and they won’t this week. Unless my other point is proven where local Mets just find the warmest / driest model and run with it the the hypocritical theory I mentioned will come in and where they’ll all turn on their beloved EURO this week after riding it into the sunset this past weekend


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Nothing is in stone, even 6 hours out. It's fluid and dynamic. A lot of local METs don't want to or like to make calls for winter weather because they have been burnt in the past and have had to hear about it. If you have the crystal ball to tell us what will happen next Sunday then please do. Thats not calling you out or trying to lambast you its just that no one can tell you anything in a ballpark this far out. Just watch the models and see the trends and try to deduct what you think will happen or listen to those more in the know. Living and dying by every deterministic model run is a easy way to go insane.
 
jeremyt said:
Nothing is in stone, even 6 hours out. It's fluid and dynamic. A lot of local METs don't want to or like to make calls for winter weather because they have been burnt in the past and have had to hear about it. If you have the crystal ball to tell us what will happen next Sunday then please do. Thats not calling you out or trying to lambast you its just that no one can tell you anything in a ballpark this far out. Just watch the models and see the trends and try to deduct what you think will happen or listen to those more in the know. Living and dying by every deterministic model run is a easy way to go insane.
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I never put faith into any threat until
It’s close enough to show up on NAM. That’s 3.5 days if it’s there then it’s normally a threat that isn’t going to “nothing”. And no Ik you’re not calling out lol it’s just hilarious the bias is showing again it just so happens to be in our favor for once


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What a great overnight discussion folks! Special shoutout to the mets that post on here. We also have some of the most knowledgeable hobbyists here as well. Some of the stuff they can see and explain on a level that's understandable to the rest of us is simple amazing.

Let's keep it rolling today and hopefully fight off an ice storm. I know that for my backyard, we've had many times since the big 2002 storm where it's looked menacing, but sleet saved the day. I've also had sleet absolutely break my heart by ruining my big snow totals. Got to take the good with the bad!
 
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