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Misc General Banter Thread

I'm not sure what's going on but the NWS has a high of 46 in Atlanta next Friday and TWC has a high of 60.
The fact that you are taking long range temp forecasts from TWC literally is comical. Or from any weather app that far out even it showed -10 degrees i would never look past 4-5 days on any weather app.
 
8+ days out of a significant threat...or the possibility of a threat. Gonna be a 100 different solutions from the gfs and other operational runs. If your a betting man or just a troll then you ride with it aint gonna happen. Chances are youre gonna be right then you can wear youre "I told yall" belt around your basement and show out to the walls and your dog. @rainsays hes heard enough tho so tread in the banter thread all day. The rest of us gonna be posting big snow outputs in the next week...time to rage and sled brothers!
 
I don’t deny that conditions are right for it to happen. The hard part is getting it to come together.
As it always is around here it seems. But the -nao is our biggest factor we have in our favor imo
Thats when we typically score especially in a non dominated Nino or Nina. When the state waffles around neutral or changing from one to the other we usually score at least a minor event in january as long as we have blocking...but not too strong or we get cold and dry. Don't want super cold or it's suppression city typically.
 
How many times has there been a great pattern only to end up getting shut out ? It has happened many times. What makes this great pattern any different ?
Not being dominated in any certain way. Mjo, nao, pna..I've always thought when any of those are real dominate then we expect it snow to happen and rarely does for the majority of us. Everything has to "lean" in the right direction imo but not too strong. If the nao tanks and the blocking is overly strong we usually get gulf coast snow if any. It's the biggest factor to me is east or west based -nao not overly strong means the most to us just east of the mountains. When we can Cad our way into a nice event. Shortwaves vs strong waves coming to the east this time of year is a wrinkle that I doubt you see models handle very well until the 3-5 days period. We have alot of nice looks coming in prime climo thays all we can ask for this far out.
 
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