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Misc General Banter Thread

Destroying your identity? Bud, you're using a burner account because you're too chicken šŸ’© to use your main, where even you half heartedly admitted you have basically no credibility left here. Get a life.
The poster 1300m won't be returning. The forum isn't looking for a professional meteorologist who can accurately forecast (speaking of cowards, who was too scared to enter the snowfall contest and take me on like a man last winter?), that's why they keep you around, to provide inaccurate long range hopium. Keep up the good work from all the way out in NM 🤣.
 
He clearly has a lot of personal issues to sort out. Using a burner account is just his way of trying to find himself again I guess.
Says the guy who picked a fight, lost, then tries to deflect. You wanted a fight, you got one. And since the mods would rather keep the circus going than ban your know-nothing-a$$, I'm out.

Mods - if you got rid of this clown, you'd get more mets to come in here. As it is, who wants to deal with this petulant, childish behavior? The forum is great, and it's pretty sad y'all let one poster hold the entire forum's potential back.
 
Just a note moving forward - a real scientist (or even man, for that matter) wouldn't be scared of competing ideas if they actually had confidence in their own take. Keep that in mind the next time @Webberweather53 cowardly challenges an opposing viewpoint.

And mods - feel free to ban this account but you own a lot of this. This type of behavior should never be allowed. It is disrespectful, disruptive and inappropriate. Real people don't behave this way - it's also why this individual couldn't get a job anywhere remotely close to his home because he burned every bridge from here to Narnia.

I strongly disagree with this entire take but to each his own.

There’s a lot of glaring issues and inconsistencies here that need to be pointed out.

For one thing, RMM MJO only explains a third of the subseasonal variance in U200, U850, & OLR, the other 67% of that variability is very important, especially when you’re advancing towards a warm enso state (EOF-3). As Ventrice et al pointed out in their creation of the VPM MJO index over 10 years ago, RMM has a lot of issues tracking the MJO outside the Warm Pool. The index crashing into the null phase doesn’t mean what you think it does

Most models also have a weak and fast bias with the MJO, this is supported by literature and having seen hundreds upon hundreds of mjo forecasts over the decade plus I’ve been doing this. Some people have to learn the hard way about these and that’s fine.

Even still, let’s say hypothetically for some odd reason this doesn’t verify, are those height anomalies on the phase 7 composite even significant? Better yet, are they actually representative of how the current base state will interact with MJO?

The low frequency + MJO constructed analog (which accounts for both), created by Dr Roundy says that’s a hard no.

View attachment 176114

Clearly, you just don’t understand how S2S forecasting actually works or simply aren’t intelligent enough come up with your own, well thought out responses and interpretations of this information.

I would highly recommend staying in your lane from now on and leave the S2S forecasts to the real experts šŸ˜‰
 
This is the wrong battle being fought in this Winter Battle Zone thread and thus is badly disrupting the flow ITT. Would it be possible for this battle of the two pro mets to be moved into its own ā€œBattle of the metsā€ thread or better yet into PM?
 
Today’s 12z GEFS probably isn’t too far off in the grand scheme of things if this blocking ridge over the Bering Sea is generally in the right place by this point in time.

The details (timing and placement etc) will move some, but should see a big, healthy chunk of the troposphere polar vortex drop to near the Hudson Bay at some point.


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Tries to begin rebuilding credibility as a LR expert by showing the 300 hr GEFS. I can’t even.
 
Let me attack everything you say and let’s see how easy it is to get along.

Wait a sec - I think we tried that once before and you didn’t take it so well!

Dude, I was literally hounded in the severe weather outbreak in the spring. In the end, one was wrong and one was right. You just have to let it float over your head if you feel you are confident.
 
Dude, I was literally hounded in the severe weather outbreak in the spring. In the end, one was wrong and one was right. You just have to let it float over your head if you feel you are confident.
Not the way it should be. Again, where is the moderation. If this is going to be the Wild West I can play that too but it won’t be pretty when I start pointing out all the asinine posts made including by their beloved LR expert.
 
Not the way it should be. Again, where is the moderation. If this is going to be the Wild West I can play that too but it won’t be pretty when I start pointing out all the asinine posts made including by their beloved LR expert.

Just set to ignore and post. If we are the audience, we can judge in the end.
 
Not sure what your grand revelation is here.

The EPO/NAO/AO and general idea of a west pac to western hemisphere mjo orbit were all there even that far out. The PNA will probably follow suit once the North Pacific block runs its course.

You’re making a whole lot out of nothing
If you’re saying your analysis was worth nothing, I tend to agree. Also, just teaching you a lesson before you come at somebody again. You ain’t all that, kid. Stay in your lane and don’t respond to me again.
 
If you’re saying your analysis was worth nothing, I tend to agree. Also, just teaching you a lesson before you come at somebody again. You ain’t all that, kid. Stay in your lane and don’t respond to me again.

There’s nothing to teach anyone here, other than we’re just nitpicking details in the planetary wave pattern several weeks out for a specific forecast period that mind you, hasn’t verified yet. The forecast could look even more -PNA heavy in a week or so or vis versa.

If the +PNA doesn’t show up exactly during the first week of December but appears several days later, big deal, it’s still arguably early December. Even if it doesn’t happen, oh whale it’s just not that serious to me, especially since I handled the upcoming phases of the EPO/NAO/AO and MJO generally correct nearly a month ago. If you can’t handle any discourse between yourself and I, and you also don’t want to get banned again, then just ignore and move on.
 
There’s nothing to teach anyone here, other than we’re just nitpicking details in the planetary wave pattern several weeks out for a specific forecast period that mind you, hasn’t verified yet. The forecast could look even more -PNA heavy in a week or so or vis versa.

If the +PNA doesn’t show up exactly during the first week of December but appears several days later, big deal, it’s still arguably early December. Even if it doesn’t happen, oh whale it’s just not that serious to me, especially since I handled the upcoming phases of the EPO/NAO/AO and MJO generally correct nearly a month ago. If you can’t handle any discourse between yourself and I, and you also don’t want to get banned again, then just ignore and move on.
Why don't you explain to the board how you disagreed with everything I postulated, but have now back pedaled to the notion my ideas were correct.

And yeah, it's pretty serious to you but you and I both know your issues with me are more about jealousy than anything else, don't we? Don't come at me if you don't want it. Shall we review some of your past statements again showing just how serious you take this since you've exhibited your deficiencies in reading comprehension quite a few times to the board and obviously still haven't comprehended what I'm saying?

I hope the board finally sees you for what you are - a pandering, needy, hyperbolist poster who cares less about being a good meteorologist and more about being liked on an amateur weather forum. You my friend, are truly pathetic. Don't back pedal now like a little coward, stand up like a man and for once admit you were wrong and move on.
 
I vote we just proceed independently and ignore each other just talk weather in this thread...and don't do the passive aggressive thing either. But that's just me.
I say we just vote me the number 1 meteorologist here and let everyone else fight it out for the remaining pecking order.
 
first off, i take no sides. i just read quickly over the recent posts and mainly quoted the ones that were trying to call the site, staff, moderation out.

also, i will be moving these posts from this thread elsewhere in the near future.

The poster 1300m won't be returning. The forum isn't looking for a professional meteorologist who can accurately forecast (speaking of cowards, who was too scared to enter the snowfall contest and take me on like a man last winter?), that's why they keep you around, to provide inaccurate long range hopium. Keep up the good work from all the way out in NM 🤣.

we do always say that our readers should always get their weather news, alerts, and other warnings from an official source.
we don't sell a service here, to have meteorologists etc on board for a professional forecast package.
if we did want to have professional quality posts that were meant to base your long-term plans on, we would.
it's not really about keeping anyone around because they post against or for other's weather wishes.
we have plenty of horrible post/posters here, especially in the busy months during events.

Says the guy who picked a fight, lost, then tries to deflect. You wanted a fight, you got one. And since the mods would rather keep the circus going than ban your know-nothing-a$$, I'm out.

Mods - if you got rid of this clown, you'd get more mets to come in here. As it is, who wants to deal with this petulant, childish behavior? The forum is great, and it's pretty sad y'all let one poster hold the entire forum's potential back.

not taking sides, but the only circus is you two guys going back and forth over nothing.
the site staff doesn't really care about a weird personal vendetta against each other.
again, we aren't in the business of providing accurate forecasts for people to base their lives and plans on, so i think the average poster who's never taken a meteorology course has the same right as someone who has, to express their opinion even if others think it's wrong

Just a note moving forward - a real scientist (or even man, for that matter) wouldn't be scared of competing ideas if they actually had confidence in their own take. Keep that in mind the next time @Webberweather53 cowardly challenges an opposing viewpoint.

And mods - feel free to ban this account but you own a lot of this. This type of behavior should never be allowed. It is disrespectful, disruptive and inappropriate. Real people don't behave this way - it's also why this individual couldn't get a job anywhere remotely close to his home because he burned every bridge from here to Narnia.

we aren't control freaks who just ban people for disputes outright. it actually takes a lot for us to actually ban someone.
perhaps you could start a community or group that you can foster an environment you like better?


This is the wrong battle being fought in this Winter Battle Zone thread and thus is badly disrupting the flow ITT. Would it be possible for this battle of the two pro mets to be moved into its own ā€œBattle of the metsā€ thread or better yet into PM?

personally, i'd say that 8/10 readers of this thread feel the same way as you.
i suggest everyone read and take it at face value, put the posters on ignore, or even have a laugh like I do.

Not the way it should be. Again, where is the moderation. If this is going to be the Wild West I can play that too but it won’t be pretty when I start pointing out all the asinine posts made including by their beloved LR expert.

the moderation is here. we are just letting it play out for entertainment. our members are more than free to ignore it, laugh at it, or even get involved at this point.
we aren't a day care and we sure aren't censor happy
with that said everyone, please no racism, hate, etc. that stuff sucks.
 
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