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Misc General Banter Thread

Probably important to remember that the rarity of southern snow and especially southern blizzards is what makes it so special. I think most of us would have a different view of snow if we spent a winter in Calgary.
 
Welp, what I do know is a modeled solution at 100 hrs out is going to change. Will it go more north or south? I'm sure we all know the answer based on history down here
 
I’ve been on weather forums since 2009 and there hasn’t been one instance of winter storm model watching that didn’t have a couple of cliff jumping days before the event
For real lol. I knew something felt wrong with this one and that’s exactly it. Now it REALLY feels like a southeast winter storm lol. In the period of 4-5 days of model watching you are bound to have operational runs show close to an outlier ensemble solution on a run here and there. So much hinges on the position and interactions of this Baja wave that even minor fluctuations will have major impacts. I’m honestly suprised it took this long. I would not be suprised in the least if we go back to an earlier solution at 0z, 06z and even 12z. Relax everyone
 
What do I gotta do to get that 850 line to move south like 300 miles
I mean I tried to get people pulling for the ongoing southward push yesterday to continue but people were sure the strength of the high was immutable and we risked ending up in another coastal. Now look what happens when we don't stick together!😄
 
Holy hell lol it’s a 18z euro suite. This thing is gonna go north and go south, it’s not suprising every winter storm does this. If this is a trend for the next 4 suites then it’s time to worry

It’s always 1 run that sends people running. Like dude it was never gonna be perfect


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It did though lol The main threat was ICE up until 2 days prior then it was sleet / SN atleast for 85 Corridor. I just don’t see so much moderation that it rains I’m sorry I dont


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I was living in Charleston then so wasn’t following as closely, so was an ice threat and then trended south with the snow line?
 
Yeah that was still a big hit for me, but we finally found an Euro run that flips me to plain rain. 👀

The EPS probably does as well, but I'm not as certain with me using ehh maps.

If I can't have the sleetier solutions, then I'm sorry to say it to my friends to the north, but I'd like to be not involved, so it may mean we warm up to where people near the SC border sweat bullets.
If the models keep going north well be out of this. Wouldn’t mind a good sleet storm if that was to pan out
 
This is me coping probably, but it always seems like the storm gets in range of the NAM the globals have weird runs and then self correct


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We haven’t had a super amped storm in a while . I’m shocked with how amped this will potentially be


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Trying a little positive thinking here... With the Euro being what people are calling a triple phaser.. and how rare that is, could it be just as far off as the GFS was with its crazy run? Maybe there is a solution somewhere in the middle we can get too?
 
I was living in Charleston then so wasn’t following as closely, so was an ice threat and then trended south with the snow line?

It was a big snow, then went to Snow and ICE threat the last few days it calmed and went back to SN/IP especially N/W 85. I recommend going to SouthernWx and reading
“The Big one” thread. The same stuff I swear, now idk the exact setups but I remember the ups and downs


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