Misc General Banter Thread

[Engeo]

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This isn’t a bad look for I-85 at all tbh. Just based on history, the precipitation will extend well NW of where it’s depicted as being cut off.

 

[Stevo24]

So whats the best location currently based on models to be at?

Myrtle beach

 

[KyloG]

Was there any doubt?

The NAM will do the same thing. It's always been an eastern NC storm IMO.

I fully expect the GFS to ramp back tonight or tomorrow.

 

[buckinbronco]

We are COOKED

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Of course AI would side with AI models...don't sweat it.

 

[mydoortotheworld]

It’s a right of passage for each storm to get one thrown out model run. I don’t think we’ve done it yet this go around. My vote is for the 18z. Purely off vibes

 

[SNOWMANN]

We might be able to stomach one more slight SE adjustment before this one gets away from the 85 crowd. I wouldn’t jump just yet

$hit I'm riding till the wheels blow off down to go time. Then I'll stay up late now casting lol

 

[BrickTamland]

We are COOKED

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Well, that's not happening this time.

 

[Parker]

I just need this to be over good or bad. Tossing the absolute ---- out of what I am seeing with this GFS/GEFS.

 

[buckinbronco]

Is there an AI NAM? Need another banger to lift the spirits in here

 

[Bigedd09]

Maybe the graf was onto something earlier


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[Parker]

They need to do something else other then get data when they get up in these clouds. Give these clouds whatever they need to to fix the mess I just saw.

 

[Stevo24]

This is fun

 

[Parker]

 

[BIG FROSTY]

I fully expect the GFS to ramp back tonight or tomorrow.

I just got one thing to say. The GFS is the most Pathetic piece of garbage of a model that's ever been. I know it's been said 1000 times, now it's 1001. Just simply amazing. smh

 

[KyloG]

Maybe we should limit the GFS runs to the Banter thread

 

[Arcc]

I fully expect this to happen if not lose the storm completely.

Told ya.

 

[RSG]

She gone folks. Hang onto the NAM if you want but you'll be disappointed. Better luck next time upstate folks. Year 4 of no snow incoming..

 

[Snowfan]

Maybe we should limit the GFS runs to the Banter thread

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Wow.

 

[Webberweather53]

18z GEFS just let out a wet fart

 

[Bigedd09]

I just got one thing to say. The GFS is the most Pathetic piece of garbage of a model that's ever been. I know it's been said 1000 times, now it's 1001. Just simply amazing. smh

I don’t think we’re ever going to learn. Myself included lol. Over amped model even 3-4 days out. Euro is king


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[Snowfan]

We went from the most beautiful GEFS mean to poop.

 

[BIG FROSTY]

Maybe we should limit the GFS runs to the Banter thread

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Absolutely agree with this 100 percent. It should always go in the banter thread, every run! They need to be looking for a replacement for that piece of crap.

 

[Parker]

That run gonna have Mitch in bed already

 

[Parker]

Maybe we should limit the GFS runs to the Banter thread

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This is criminal

 

[BIG FROSTY]

18z GEFS just let out a wet fart

The only good thing about it. It is the GEFS.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

That run gonna have Mitch in bed already

I may join him if the Euro/short range that's upcoming doesn't look good.

I effed up my sleep schedule with last night pretty badly and now if I don't have any reason for that to be the case, I'll be resting on Friday and maybe Saturday only just to recover.

 

[Arcc]

I fully expect the GFS to ramp back tonight or tomorrow.

I'm going with 12hrs out. Everything else could trend into the superstorm and the GFS will think it won a free trip to the Bahamas.

 

[mcv1998]

Figured we could have a thread about what we learned as a board from this storm. Here a couple of my observations.

1. The NW Trend is still very prevalent. Like with every storm it showed up big time here.
2. Road and ground temps are overrated when you have rates like we did.
3. The CMC and NAM did a fantastic job sniffing this thing out. The HRRR did a great job as well once we got into its range.
4. The GFS just needs to be dismissed. 2 years in a row it’s been out too lunch wayyyyy too south. Absolutely terrible. Euro was solid but not gold standard worthy.
5. If the models even hint at a warm nose showing up, be very afraid. That thing just doesn’t ever want to budge.

Those are just 5 things I saw, I’m sure y’all can’t point out some more.

hopefully most of these are still true...

 

[Stevo24]

Honestly though if things can change this much 2 days out and likely even 24 hours out what’s the purpose of these models.

 

[chase5ash]

 

[Brent]

It's funny they are getting rid of the NAM

They should get rid of the GFS also while we're deleting models

 

[Tarheel1]

1000000 year cold shot on the GFS this evening! It’s a coming

 

[LongRanger]

Honestly though if things can change this much 2 days out and likely even 24 hours out what’s the purpose of these models.

Just don't look at them and wait for short range to come into range then follow them

 

[Bigedd09]

1000000 year cold shot on the GFS this evening! It’s a comingView attachment 183953

Way to post the gfs in the correct thread


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[RSG]

I would lean heavily on short range models at this range, If they are picking up on something they would likely be right at this range than anything the Globals are showing

This is wishcasting at its finest. None of these short range models you speak of are in a reliable range. Go ahead and believe that NAM all you want. It too fired warning shots moving Southeast.

 

[Brent]

Btw we are officially at the hottest January on record right now! Score!

 

[Pilotwx]

Got an question? How can the models get a upper mid-west blizzard right 7 days out right, but cant get a snow storm in the south right 2 days out ? It goes from a big show to a no show?

 

[accu35]

Expect the NW trend @0z tonight. Throwing all my chips in

 

[LongRanger]

This is wishcasting at its finest. None of these short range models you speak of are in a reliable range. Go ahead and believe that NAM all you want. It too fired warning shots moving Southeast.

Neither are the Globals in reliable range, 3 days out they are trash, Id gladly put all my chips in on the Short range 3 days out. Call it wish casting if you want

 

[buckinbronco]

Bouncy out there snatching souls today lol