Tropical Flo's baby near Bermuda: could come back to SE early next wk

[Metwannabe]

Still looks decent this morning, it's small and will have minimum impacts thank goodness but it sure looks very close to a depression to me....

Either way it doesn't matter shear going to rip this to shreds tomorrow

 

[snowlover91]

Still looks decent this morning, it's small and will have minimum impacts thank goodness but it sure looks very close to a depression to me....

Either way it doesn't matter shear going to rip this to shreds tomorrow

A few mesoscale models like the ARW/NMM have this strengthening as it nears the NC OBX into a moderate TS around 1000-1005mb and then to a hurricane as it pulls away to the NE. They show a TINY storm so it remains to be seen if that will happen but it's certainly interesting. Shear is actually decreasing due to an anticyclone over/near the center of this system so it may keep a favorable environment for longer if it holds.

 

[Metwannabe]

Flo this is just insulting...

Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk

 

[DaculaWeather]

OTS. We'll have a good view of it as it passes near the Frying Pan Tower. ;-)

 

[Metwannabe]

RECON flying in there this afternoon.....

 

[Metwannabe]

OTS. We'll have a good view of it as it passes near the Frying Pan Tower. ;-)


View attachment 6565

It provided a good view with her first visit (ok I know it's not technically Florence but close enough lol)

 

[DaculaWeather]

It provided a good view with her first visit (ok I know it's not technically Florence but close enough lol)

Yea, until the internet connection died. I REALLY wanted to see some major wave action!

 

[ForsythSnow]

Seems to be a broad circulation per recon. Nothing to see here I think.

 

[snowlover91]

Seems to be a broad circulation per recon. Nothing to see here I think.

They found a closed and weak circulation. Probably won’t classify it but it meets all the criteria for a TD.

 

[ForsythSnow]

They found a closed and weak circulation. Probably won’t classify it but it meets all the criteria for a TD.
View attachment 6573

With a pressure that high, it's a wonder it is what it is. Kirk and Leslie have a high chance of coming back now, so they are more likely going to be something to watch for the time being.