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Pattern December to Remember

Lickwx said:
I have lots of doubt about the validity of whatever station you are using . Always seems to be warmer than surroundings. I’ll there shortly to do quality control .
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KJQF was 72 at 10:50 so by Warmer then surroundings I guess you mean 1F, a huge deal !!!
 
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Myfrotho704_ said:
KJQF was 72 at 10:50 so by Warner then surroundings I guess you mean 1F, a huge deal !!!
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I made 10 bucks off someone the other day because they didn’t believe JQF has commercial service.

Meanwhile, it’s been in the 70s since noon up here. I have to say, it’s been a nice day to show my in laws around Duke so they can see my workplace.
 
SD said:
Lol nam View attachment 99295
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RAH is not totally discounting the possibility:

SHORT TERM /MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 252 PM Sunday...

As we get into the morning hours, the surface boundary will begin to
retreat northward (slowly) as a warm front, Just off the surface,
increasing southwesterly winds on the nose of the 925-850mb warm
front will sharpen the inversion and result in shallow forcing for
ascent atop the quasi-stationary surface boundary. Cool
northeasterly flow and widespread stratus will likely develop around
daybreak on the cool side of the front, and this will undoubtedly
make for a challenging temperature forecast as there is considerable
spread among the models. NAM/MET which typically does a good job
with CAD regimes keeps temperatures in the upper 40s/lower 50s along
and north of I-85 for much of the day. GFS and other guidance depict
a much shallower cold layer which could erode by early afternoon.
Given the relatively weak nature of the surface high (1026mb) and
its position north of latitude 50N, I`m inclined to go a bit warmer
than the NAM but still undercut the GFS and other warmer guidance.
Highs should top out in the low/mid 50s across the north, with much
warmer temperatures (70s) to the south. The NAM, with its sharper
inversion and increased moisture pooling in the low levels, is also
indicating the potential for some light rain/drizzle near the
boundary but I will keep the forecast dry for the time being given
its wet bias.
 
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