Webberweather53
Meteorologist
EPS looks like it's gonna show even more -EPO this run. Wave pattern is more amped near Japan
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Pattern December to Remember
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Woof
Stronger okhotsk low, this should be interesting
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Everything looks better this run looks like the retrogression into the -NAO is happening faster this run and the -EPO is gonna be stronger
Oh man if we can retrograde that trough more into the pacific, cut it off and get a western ridge to boot with the -EPO 
You are correct… the problem with Miller As for CLT metro is just how sharp that cut off is on the NW edge. You can go from 4-6”+ to nothing in a matter of 10-15 miles, and usually CLT metro is on the wrong side of that. Every now and then a January 2002 will happen, but I would much rather take my chance with a Miller B
I’d really watch this if I lived in a climo favored CAD area 
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Webber and Myfrotho keeping hope alive.
pcbjr
Member
Since today's focus seems to be the EPO (hmmmmm), I'm sharing this for anyone who wants a little background at a very basic and understandable level (i.e., sans the nuances) ...
www.worldclimateservice.com
4 Important Impacts of the Eastern Pacific Oscillation
The Eastern Pacific Oscillation was related to a very cold 2019 Halloween in the midwest US. Read about it here.
www.worldclimateservice.com
I remember that pattern in March 2018 and would definitely take my chances with it in mid to late December
Ehhhh, feel like the GEFS looks better on the Atlantic side 
pcbjr
Member
... and some might find this a good quick reference source (maybe) ...
www.whoi.edu
El Niño & Other Oscillations - Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
El Niño is a warming of surface waters in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, while La Niña is a cooling event—both can affect weather patterns around the globe.
www.whoi.edu
Meow we're probably not gonna get a big snowstorm underneath a 582 decameter ridge. ☹Woof
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Honestly just looking more at the short-term features that make the pattern more favorable in the long-run
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Definitely much better.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
EPS may be overdoing the warm pattern after the Solstice.
Well since Jan ‘88 was brought up, just thought I would give a friendly reminder of the 5H pattern as one of those “best case scenarios” for widespread SE storm. Interesting in that the EPO was very negative, although there were low heights along the west coast, and a very positive NAO. Some of our best storms are when we have low heights throughout the continent, allowing high presssure to keep storms suppressed and also allowing energy to easily ride underneath it from west to east.
Warm pattern? overdoing? In the same sentence?EPS may be overdoing the warm pattern after the Solstice.
Didn’t realize the EPS Control had a climo area CAD ice storm 
