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Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again

I don't buy the LP's cutting into big HP's like the gfs keeps showing. Got to see which side the euro takes here or if it finds a middle ground.
 
whatalife said:
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So Jan 3rd it is. Dear lord

Crushage
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Parker said:
Thank you for telling us what timeframe to expect our storm after every set of model runs.
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After every set of model runs? you're kidding right? I said that time frame way earlier today. People got confused thinking it was the 27th-30th or whatever it was.
 
Let me guess, the GEFS won't look anything like the op run! :(
 
malak05 said:
CMC was the first to sniff out the 9th system
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Was quite sure the Euro honked at a bigger event for the SE, then the GFS followed a day or so later. Both said "nah" and as we got closer everything fell into line? The last Winter weather event in the Deep South I can remember the Canadian nailing,profusely, was the Feb of 2010 snow storm while GFS sent it to Cuba, over and over.
 
Shawn said:
Was quite sure the Euro honked at a bigger event for the SE, then the GFS followed a day or so later. Both said "nah" and as we got closer everything fell into line? The last Winter weather event in the Deep South I can remember the Canadian nailing,profusely, was the Feb of 2010 snow storm while GFS sent it to Cuba, over and over.
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The EURO was right down the middle with the 2010 storm. The CMC did well but had amounts way too high...one of the runs it absolutely buried KCHS under 20 hours of heavy snow.
 
Stormsfury said:
The EURO was right down the middle with the 2010 storm. The CMC did well but had amounts way too high...one of the runs it absolutely buried KCHS under 20 hours of heavy snow.
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Over the years, I've noticed it tends to be too cold, even moreso than the GFS. Could be coincidence, as I have not researched it's biases. Makes sense though, as I have noticed that those two (GFS & CMC) tend to have snow down to the SC coast with resolution loss, when in reality it's a mix or tail end event at best.
 
I don't think we really can mention big storms being somewhat steady on the GFS anymore. I noted that and look where that got me around Christmas. There's something but outside rain it's nothing much and the winter weather is much farther north.

Normally I don't trust fantasy land at all but since it was being steady I thought it was something to note.

There's really no need for anything outside of stuff about the pattern after 240.
 
Shawn said:
Was quite sure the Euro honked at a bigger event for the SE, then the GFS followed a day or so later. Both said "nah" and as we got closer everything fell into line? The last Winter weather event in the Deep South I can remember the Canadian nailing,profusely, was the Feb of 2010 snow storm while GFS sent it to Cuba, over and over.
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I will correct my statement Euro/GFS did have am a few runs of which had winter weather then both went away but at same time CMC had a lot of runs of constitancy with storm Euro came around a couple of days before back to strong signs and GFS finally came back day before basically...
 
Ensembles out yet?
 
I know gfs has been shuffling around, but im still pretty excited about the up coming chances. Yes gfs has been pushing things on hold abit but the pattern still looks good for end of December to the first week of Jan. Hang in there guys its only December and we have a long ways yo go
 
MSnowAtl said:
Not too bad
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While it looks okay, there are multiple hits through the end period, which is expected. The first happens right around (on the mean/members) around hour 240, or where the 12z Euro gave an idea earlier today.
 
Already can see the cold trying to flex and energy coming our way on Euro. May be another Wintry run for parts of the South this go; here soon.
 
Primed for a bigger event for NC... ruh roh.

1040 parked, 1050 over the central us, in canada.
 
Shawn said:
Primed for a bigger event for NC... ruh roh.

1040 parked, 1050 over the central us, in canada.
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Shawn said:
Already can see the cold trying to flex and energy coming our way on Euro. May be another Wintry run for parts of the South this go; here soon.
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Yea think we are going to have another good run.
 
hartselleweather said:
Yea think we are going to have another good run.
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If things hold and the system gets going, it may be an even bigger run. waiting for my source to get the frames.

edit: we gonna have a storm this run!
 
Ice/sleet breaking out all over SC & southern/ N. GA where the moisture is. Into GA snow.. upstate.. far northern bama... Yipee! Will await frames now.
 
More frames coming after these:

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This is gonna be a big one barring a fizzle. perfect track for ATL/SC areas especially so far it looks like.
 
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