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Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again

I don't have access to the GEFS fully but I saw on the other board....E13 may be a lot of ice.

But anyway, its the full run/happy hour but well dang at the GEFS.
 
Remember these details will fluctuate between now and impact and will come NW some (how much is anyone's guess) and a warm nose will inevitably appear back to I-77 in NC, the whole western part of SC and into far North Georgia most likely. Really not sure about our peeps in Miss and Ala, but E Tenn should do well in this scenario IMO. Yes this is a guess on my part but everything else is at this point too, plenty of time for the GEFS and EPS to iron out details
 
Weatherlover92 said:
Agreed, it doesn't take much of CAD to produce wintry precipitation in Atlanta as long as we have a nice HP parked to the NE bleeding in some cold, stiff NE winds. I'm starting to get January 2005 vibes from this setup. Started off as sleet, changed over to rain/freezing rain, the changed over to all freezing rain (with some light snow changeover periodically). It's the coldest ice storm I have seen to this date with temps staying in the mid to upper 20s most of the event. 24hrs later we were in the mid 40s and ice seemed like a daydream lmao.

Although February 2014 was an overrunning event so it's not the same, I remember most models kept forecasting major ice here (1/2 inch or greater) up to the day of that event and we ended up getting mostly a sleet storm (2 inches) with a light glaze of ice and light snow on the backside. I think the airport got more ice though.
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Thanks for the info. I'll keep it in mind
 
Nice GEFS, also really happy to see more trends for winter weather south of RDU, shows there are many possible ways to get a good storm for a lot of people, plus more wiggle room here.
 
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