17.2
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Pattern December Dud đź‘€
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Avalanche
Member
The good news is that it will warm up and rain next week. Bad news, it turns cold and dry again right after that.
Tarheelwx
Member
17.8 in Colfax.
18.7. I had ice in the creek banks yesterday and lots of pretty ice flowers on the frost weed even in the afternoon.
BHS1975
Member
Should help build up cold air in the source region.Long range of the last 4 runs of the Euro AI show poleward amplification up thru Alaska. These looks aren't even cold for us (at least initially), but I find them to be mildly interesting because I felt the AI did a good job at sniffing out our current cold pattern
18 degrees in woods this morning. Minor Hill, TN
2 consecutive mornings @ 18.7 and my water was froze this morning, heat bulb in pump house just busted? installed new bulb had water in 15 minutes...
Haven't seen these in person before. Pretty neat. Not the most perfectly formed example, but it's still pretty cool to see them over top of several peaks in West Jefferson this morning.
NoSnowATL
Member
If you want to see blue skies just come to my house. It’s sunny 334 days a year.
LickWx
Member
You retired ?
Only on the weekends.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Did you move to Phoenix ?
You can get some really really solid stacks over the Black Mtns. Distant in this pic but in the center had some decent stacks over there
GFS brought a big ol dry CAD into the mix next weekend. Not super cold, but could get a cloudy 40s day out of it.
NCSNOW
Member
Thats been showing on Euro an Can for several days. In fact some runs show HP parked up there for multiple days , keeping us in a NE wind. No moisture, but it prevents another big warmup after the cool down late this week rockets out after 48 hrs. We will lose it after 3 or so days, cause a lakes low comes and scoots it out.
Yeh I don’t know about this warm up mid month. Not even close to a torch. Barely even a warm up.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The mid to late month pattern is the worst one you could ask for. Cold rain purgatory.
Yeah it’s not a torch but it’s definitely not going to be cold enough to snow as there’s no “true” cold air in sight & it’ll take a week-10 days or so for real cold to come back, even as the pattern flips back after Christmas.
0/10 for me
Yeah it’s not a torch but it’s definitely not going to be cold enough to snow as there’s no “true” cold air in sight & it’ll take a week-10 days or so for real cold to come back, even as the pattern flips back after Christmas.
0/10 for me
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Another reason why you shouldn’t rush pattern changes.
Even when the circulation pattern flips after this mild spell, it simply takes a lot of time for the deep layer air mass to catch up. You first have to transport the cold air here, then you have to get it to stay, by rebuilding the snow pack you lost in the previous mild spell as an example.
That doesn’t happen immediately most times, even though most like to tell themselves it can.
Even when the circulation pattern flips after this mild spell, it simply takes a lot of time for the deep layer air mass to catch up. You first have to transport the cold air here, then you have to get it to stay, by rebuilding the snow pack you lost in the previous mild spell as an example.
That doesn’t happen immediately most times, even though most like to tell themselves it can.
One positive is its Dec 20th and not Jan 20th.
Merry not-torchmas!