Pattern December 2023

[FallsLake]

If I lived in TN, AL, GA I'd be rooting hard for the 3k NAM right now

It's got support from the RDPS as well.

 

[WEATHERBOYROY]

Just looking at IR Sat and I would like to see that upper low tap into the southern jet for some moisture. It is so close!

 

[BHS1975]

If I lived in TN, AL, GA I'd be rooting hard for the 3k NAM right now

NAM is gaslighting .


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[Ron Burgundy]

Right at 2” here.

2.29” here in Chastain Park area. Talk about a backloaded event!

 

[cyclogent]

If I lived in TN, AL, GA I'd be rooting hard for the 3k NAM right now

Yeah, it paints a nice picture. I think pretty much everyone north of I-20 ought to see at least some flakes flying. Precip rates look kinda weak though and we'll be fighting above freezing temps below about 1,500' in elevation, so unfortunately looking very doubtful any accumulation outside the plateau and mountains.

 

[weatherfide]

It's got support from the RDPS as well.

RH at all levels dissipates as the system moves in to GA. I think this one is dead on arrival for GA. Northern AL and TN look better.

 

[weatherfide]

Yeah, it paints a nice picture. I think pretty much everyone north of I-20 ought to see at least some flakes flying. Precip rates look kinda weak though and we'll be fighting above freezing temps below about 1,500' in elevation, so unfortunately looking very doubtful any accumulation outside the plateau and mountains.

Skew-t's show saturated layers below 10k ft but the output maps don't show precip. Column looks cold, down to around 1,300 ft. Not sure if them tiny flakes can make it the last quarter mile as frozen, though. At least in my area. 06z on Saturday looks like the best shot at seeing something if it happens.

I'll be watching trends Friday pm. Any signs of snow up stream will have me peering out the window into the flood lights. It's a sick obsession, I know....

 

[EmersonGA]

Yeah, it paints a nice picture. I think pretty much everyone north of I-20 ought to see at least some flakes flying. Precip rates look kinda weak though and we'll be fighting above freezing temps below about 1,500' in elevation, so unfortunately looking very doubtful any accumulation outside the plateau and mountains.

It will happen since I’ll be in St Simons.

 

[BullCityWx]

Looking at the RH maps, I think Charlotte metro has a shot late Friday Night.

 

[NCSNOW]

Does it matter if you are on the lee side of these peaks or is any amount of elevation good enough?

You get to banner elk, from there west you will be golden. Thats how you get to beech,sugar,grandfather. Watch the forecast next 24 hours. Rays wx usually pins the tale on the donkey up there very well. It will snow banner elk- west before it snows anywhere in SE on nwfs events.

 

[Nomanslandva]

3K NAM still looks sexy in NE AL and NW GA. Looks like my flizzard chances are gone up here.

 

[Metwannabe]

12z 3k NAM keeps hope alive for TN, northern MS, AL and GA folks at least to see some flakes fly. TN might get a dusting in spots tomorrow evening

 

[NCSNOW]

The warmest Decembers in Randolph County past 100 years are
2015
2021
1984
1956
1971
1931
1923
2012

 

[WSW]

 

[Ron Burgundy]

View attachment 139244

Looked to be very close to a nice overrunning event for much of the Deep South

 

[WSW]

 

[J.C.]

I believe we are going to blow by forecast highs today.

 

[WSW]

I believe we are going to blow by forecast highs today.

Yep. IAD has only had 8 days this month with highs below 50 and 14 below freezing days.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Yep. IAD has only had 8 days this month with highs below 50 and 14 below freezing days.

Freezing on half of the days sounds like a lot.

 

[J.C.]

Yep. IAD has only had 8 days this month with highs below 50 and 14 below freezing days.

How many days in the 60s? I made a post yesterday about how the standard deviation was low. I've only had two highs below 50 and 7 days below freezing this month. My highest has only been 65.8F though.