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Pattern December 2023

EmersonGA said:
I’ve got a Dewpoint of 18. I’m guessing another night in the teens.
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We've certainly had our share of nights below freezing,teens,lower 20s, Frost. Good news is Its not even the 1st official day of winter yet lol.

Ive got that vibe, that some of us are getting ready to hear our favorite 3 word statement over the next few weeks. Winter Storm Warning! Past Time for the rubber band to snap back in the other direction.
 
NCSNOW said:
We've certainly had our share of nights below freezing,teens,lower 20s, Frost. Good news is Its not even the 1st official day of winter yet lol.

Ive got that vibe, that some of us are getting ready to hear our favorite 3 word statement over the next few weeks. Winter Storm Warning! Past Time for the rubber band to snap back in the other direction.
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This winter already feels colder than last winter as far as the amount of days in a row having to wear long sleeves and jackets.
 
Bham 99 said:
This winter already feels colder than last winter as far as the amount of days in a row having to wear long sleeves and jackets.
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Yeah it's already cold here and apparently this is nothing compared to after Christmas possibly ? heck we supposedly started to warmup today but the wind picked up and it didnt feel like it
 
Gotta get the Golf in starting tomorrow, Fri,Sat. Gonna be a swamp Christmas night through the 27th, Euro says pattern flips on time still 28/29th after the rain. We might get to do another Rogue flake east of the mountains watch. Think I've counted about 7 flakes so far this season lol. Got a shot at some decent upslope next wed into Thursday. I'm down for a chase in the northern mtns if its more than a measly inch or 2.

prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp.conus.png
 
Think what some aren’t realizing is the “colder” phases of the MJO, the exact phases (8/1) that are in tandem with +AAM are aiding in the jet extension and to help keep it going… those phases favor a jet extension during Nino and nina years during the winter. Which we already have a mega death jet. It isn’t doing to much to help us out. we need some retraction of the pacific jet, not big but we need a decent amount to get cold back into the NHEM. Signs of falling AAM soon, which would start retraction
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Think what some aren’t realizing is the “colder” phases of the MJO, the exact phases (8/1) that are in tandem with +AAM are aiding in the jet extension and to help keep it going… those phases favor a jet extension during Nino and nina years during the winter. Which we already have a mega death jet. It isn’t doing to much to help us out. we need some retraction of the pacific jet, not big but we need a decent amount to get cold back into the NHEM. Signs of falling AAM soon, which would start retraction
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Exactly. Also it should be pointed out that the MJO is actually racing through all phases right now. We literally just saw it go through phases 3-6 in only about 8 or 9 days.
 
EmersonGA said:
18.3 yesterday and 19.8 this morning. That will help the departures.
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The past two days and this morning for me:
1703166034513.png

This is what my temps do just about every calm night, drop quickly to just above where I'll be for the overall low right before midnight, then fluctuate.

1703166158752.png
 
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