93l
40/50Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL93):
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear favorable for further development of this system, and a
tropical depression could form in a couple of days while the system
moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Late to the party this year.Has that look as well. Off to a hot start in the MDR. Where nino?
50/60Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL93):
A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear favorable for further development of this system, and a
tropical depression could form in a couple of days while the system
moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
&&
70/80Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL93):
Showers and thunderstorms are gradually showing signs of
organization in association with a tropical wave located several
hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for further development of this system,
and a tropical depression will likely form during the next couple
of days while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL93):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has diminished during the past
several hours in association with a tropical wave located several
hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. However,
environmental conditions appear conducive for further development
of this system, and a tropical depression will likely form during
the next couple of days while the system moves westward at 10 to 15
mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL93):
Showers and thunderstorms have started to redevelop after a
lull in activity this afternoon, in association with a tropical
wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further
development of this system, and a tropical depression will
likely form during the next couple of days while the system moves
westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
TD 4 and for the first time in recorded history, two tropical cyclones in the MDR region formed in June.BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Four Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042023
500 AM AST Thu Jun 22 2023
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.9N 41.1W
ABOUT 1395 MI...2240 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES