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Pattern April Oven

The river birches here are dropping their leaves...so they need this weekend rain go over perform.
Last weekend when the cold front came through and the wind picked up, it looked like Fall with all of the dead leaves coming off of the hardwoods that border my backyard. We need rain desperately in the Southeast at this point. My rose bushes are the only plant life that is thriving in these dry conditions. I have never seen them so full of blooms and flowers.
 
It sprinkled for about 10 minutes and I could hear the last bit if grass alive starting to hum but then a collective moan when it stopped.

Rooting for the nam and hrrrr..they at least gives north ga a chance at more than a trace.
 
After this upcoming rain/storm event Monday, that should put us at the wettest April on record in Des Moines! Was at 6” before yesterday, they picked up about 1” and I had 1.25, Monday rains look to be easily 1-2” plus, so could end up with over 8” for the month. The current record is in the 6’s, 6.68” or near that! 👀
 
Something is showing up on radar, and in my point forecast that's scaring me. It looks like Lucy and the football. The stuff I won't name so as to not frighten it away, shows up every day on the point forecast, 50/50 or so most days. Which means it's like snow, and that means it's misses me most times, or it's just on the grass blades, and only on half the yard. I can't believe I'm saying this, but I hope it's not snow or sleet.
 
There is a part of me that thinks we are offsetting what's coming with the super mega nino. I bet folks are asking for the rain to stop in March
Agreed. Probably just like 2002-2003. When that one changed the rain just would not stop. That winter was active too.
 
We cooked here. My gut says the only way out is a tropical system.

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Looks about like the corn fields I posted in the gardening thread. Folks aren't realizing that without rain we're going to be up **** creek. Diesel prices are too high to re-seed plus it'll be so hot soon it's pointless even if we get rain.
 
@Shaggy and @ALL, If you care too look closely at the "Foliage", I'm noticing cypress trees & Mature pines are turning kinda Grey/green in color and Pines are loosing pine needles in "clumps" With NO New growth..

Yep there's a ton of river birches that have already given up the ghost this year in subdivisions. Just dark brown and dead like they got hit with 2,4-D.

I can't wait to see my water bill for April because the drip irrigation is going every evening around my maples and red oaks. Gotta keep them alive no matter what.
 
I hope some of us can get a little relief today and this evening from these dry conditions. We desperately need to get some beneficial rains before the summer months arrive. Hurricane season looks to be below normal from the forecasts I've seen with a raging El Nino in place but
one well placed tropical storm or minimal hurricane would be a tremendous help to help alleviate the drought conditions across the Southeast.
 
I hope some of us can get a little relief today and this evening from these dry conditions. We desperately need to get some beneficial rains before the summer months arrive. Hurricane season looks to be below normal from the forecasts I've seen with a raging El Nino in place but
one well placed tropical storm or minimal hurricane would be a tremendous help to help alleviate the drought conditions across the Southeast.
That's a long way away
 
I keep hearing comparisons to 2007 because it was such a dry year. The main difference there is we still got rain in spring and had a growing season. This map looks terrible, but Florence SC for example still had above average rainfall in spring totaling 3.88" in April. This year we may wind up with between 0 and .5" based on the forecast for the next few days to end the month.
 

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HRRR shows the little meso complex refiring over the Atlanta-Athens area soon. Radar sure doesn't look encouraging, though.
 
HRRR shows the little meso complex refiring over the Atlanta-Athens area soon. Radar sure doesn't look encouraging, though.
Radar is starting to fill back in now with hints of embedded convection. I think we have to have a bit more upper level cloud clearing if we want some full blown storms, though. We shall see what happens through the afternoon.
 
for the carolina(s), the focus is early next week for appreciable rain it seems. i think those of us that can get lucky and get an actual storm this weekend, may make off fairly well by surprise though
 
From FFC for 3 systems starting today:

7 DAY RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN 1.5-2.25" NORTH OF I-85, WITH PROGRESSIVELY
DIMINISHING AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST, DOWN TO ABOUT 0.5" IN
EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA. LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE
STRONGER STORMS OCCUR. INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR
WILL SET UP OVER THE SOUTHEAST ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY
 
Raining. Weird.
We're reacting to rain now like people in Los Angeles usually do. 🤣 I once went there and it was misting when I landed (not raining mind you...misting, like you could be in it for 30 minutes before getting wet) and the locals were all like....HEY it's raining!! Can you believe it's raining?? It's so dreary outside!

It honestly reminded me of the general public's reaction when we get token flakes around here. (Hey it's snowing!) It's all relative I tell ya.
 
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