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Tropical 99L

In addition to the 12Z Icon being still another of its runs developing this in the W Caribbean, the 12Z Euro ens is significantly more active:

IMG_4421.png
 
Yeah, this one is a sleeper if the trade winds (?) in the Caribbean don’t kill it off.

The NHC’s interested enough now to apparently send recon (tentative).
 
Man lots of people on X are pulling for this one. I mean, it's not impossible, but it's got a tough row to ho.
 
The Euro ensemble, which had gotten significantly more active 24 hours ago and then on the 0Z significantly less active than yesterday’s 12Z run, was very quiet on today’s 12Z with virtually nothing. Check out the difference between 12Z yesterday and 12Z today:

12Z yesterday at 216: somewhat active
IMG_4421.png

12Z today at 192: nothing!
IMG_4428.png
 
GaWx said:
The Euro ensemble, which had gotten significantly more active 24 hours ago and then on the 0Z significantly less active than yesterday’s 12Z run, was very quiet on today’s 12Z with virtually nothing. Check out the difference between 12Z yesterday and 12Z today:

12Z yesterday at 216: somewhat active
View attachment 174531

12Z today at 192: nothing!
View attachment 174532
Click to expand...
Hard to trust models when they show so much run to run inconsistency
 
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