Tropical 92L

[Arcc]

Yeah I get you on that, but it's still going to be getting hit hard unless it's going almost due east, which seems unlikely. I wouldn't say a cat 1 is out of the question, maybe a 2 if everything was perfect, but it still looks like too much shear to me to get a big dog.

Really don't see that much shear over the system at all, at least looking at the GFS.

 

[SnowmasterATL]

Really don't see that much shear over the system at all, at least looking at the GFS.

I am taking the GFS as gain and salt right now...too bullish for me like other systems it has produce only to be downgraded in future runs.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Pasta bowl says bet on the GFS.