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Wintry 3/10-13 Winter Weather

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Warning for middle Tenn for 3-6 in...Warning in north Ala for 2-4 inches
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Need that low to keep pushing south or the warm nose is going to hurt a lot of feelings. We've been down this road many times, and that transition is always slower than expected. I wouldn't put my house on it, but if I had to, I would say extreme NW AL will be the only area that verifies WSW criteria consistently across the area. Along and east of I65 is going to be tough to transition quick enough before the moisture flies out of here. Should be fun to track, but I'm just not buying in yet.
 
NWS now saying .5 inch to an inch with locally higher totals and have shifted the advisory further south.


URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
322 AM CST Fri Mar 11 2022

ALZ019-021-025-027-028-030>032-034-112200-
/O.EXA.KBMX.WW.Y.0004.220312T0600Z-220312T1500Z/
Calhoun-Cleburne-Shelby-Talladega-Clay-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Bibb-
Including the cities of Anniston, Heflin, Columbiana, Pelham,
Alabaster, Talladega, Sylacauga, Ashland, Livingston, Eutaw,
Greensboro, Moundville, and Centreville
322 AM CST Fri Mar 11 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 AM CST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of one half to
one inch, with locally higher totals. Winds gusting as high as
40 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central Alabama.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.
 

No....No....No...My tulips are starting to come up....Where was this dynamic system in December for Christ's sake?

Perhaps even a few flakes down to I-20 in Atlanta.
Even if the snow amounts end up being 0...Unfortunately for your tulips , the cold temps will probably verify...Sorry
 
Can't get over the last minute push south and east with this system. RAP has accumulating snow for my area now.
 
Less than 18 hours away from this "snowstorm", and all is quite....people know the feeling of letdown and are on pins and needles.
 
Back on topic though.....I do like the late trends, I just hope it wasnt an over-correction. Hopefully that low keeps inching southward.
 
12Z HRRR holding steady on snow amounts. I’m feeling confident but have to sleep too lol also family, job, life,etc

Edit: old model in original post, updated below and it’s showing a little less on latest HRRR
1647005963911.png
 
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Sure doesn't, just shows the confidence level of those involved, and it's apparently extremely low.

Or it's simply that this board is dominated by folks in North Carolina and this isn't a NC storm.

Anyway, good luck to my neighbors in NW Atlanta. Think you guys might get something especially if you're at a decent elevation
 
12Z HRRR actually was a pretty significant drop in snow around northeast Ms to shoals area in nw AL when compared to 06Z. 12Z NAM running now
 
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