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Misc 2022-23 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

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What are the main things that are preventing us from scoring in this pattern? And are those things that you expected when seeing how good the pattern was looking a few weeks ago? Just trying to figure out how we went off the rails.
 
Stevo24 said:
What are the main things that are preventing us from scoring in this pattern? And are those things that you expected when seeing how good the pattern was looking a few weeks ago? Just trying to figure out how we went off the rails.
Click to expand...
Not every good pattern produces snow
 
Stevo24 said:
What are the main things that are preventing us from scoring in this pattern? And are those things that you expected when seeing how good the pattern was looking a few weeks ago? Just trying to figure out how we went off the rails.
Click to expand...
Living in the south especially SC is what's preventing us lol
 
Stevo24 said:
What are the main things that are preventing us from scoring in this pattern? And are those things that you expected when seeing how good the pattern was looking a few weeks ago? Just trying to figure out how we went off the rails.
Click to expand...
Nothing went off the rails. The pattern will verify as modeled and the “fly in the ointment” end possibility mentioned by Fro and Grit over a week ago also looks to verify with too much Pacific jet. Everyone needs to remember there is a reason the snow mean per season for much of us hangs around 1.5-2” a year. Accumulating snow here 95% of the time requires perfect timing. Even “for sure” events that we remember were “for sure” like 2/12/10 also hung in the balance for several days due to possibly being too suppressed.

The bast case we in the south can ask for is being in the game with all the players on the field.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Imagine if we overextend in late December View attachment 126185
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Arcc said:
Nothing went off the rails. The pattern will verify as modeled and the “fly in the ointment” end possibility mentioned by Fro and Grit over a week ago also looks to verify with too much Pacific jet. Everyone needs to remember there is a reason the snow mean per season for much of us hangs around 1.5-2” a year. Accumulating snow here 95% of the time requires perfect timing. Even “for sure” events that we remember were “for sure” like 2/12/10 also hung in the balance for several days due to possibly being too suppressed.

The bast case we in the south can ask for is being in the game with all the players on the field.
Click to expand...
Yep, how unfortunate
 
Stevo24 said:
What are the main things that are preventing us from scoring in this pattern? And are those things that you expected when seeing how good the pattern was looking a few weeks ago? Just trying to figure out how we went off the rails.
Click to expand...
Because you can't trust the models past 5 days, maybe even 3. They just suck when it comes to showing phantom winter storms here outside 3 days. Coming here and following the models is pretty pointless and useless really.
 
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