Misc 2022-23 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

[SD]

Maybe it'll trend so bad it's good

 

[Brent]

Oh boy the NWS is already concerned ?

The
increasing forecast focus will be on the potential for arctic air
spilling into the western and central CONUS mid to late next week.
Guidance expectantly varies greatly at this time range but the
potential for the cold air does warrant attention.

 

[NoSnowATL]

Oh boy the NWS is already concerned ?

The
increasing forecast focus will be on the potential for arctic air
spilling into the western and central CONUS mid to late next week.
Guidance expectantly varies greatly at this time range but the
potential for the cold air does warrant attention.

Your area is getting it no doubt.

 

[SASQUATCH]

Oh boy the NWS is already concerned ?

The
increasing forecast focus will be on the potential for arctic air
spilling into the western and central CONUS mid to late next week.
Guidance expectantly varies greatly at this time range but the
potential for the cold air does warrant attention.

 

[SASQUATCH]

While y’all lose your minds:
42 and a killer sunset in Raleigh
View attachment 126138

meanwhile in Bama:

 

[BIG FROSTY]

Ran across this from another place about the 12z Euro... ?‍

The second I saw teens in san Diego I disregarded the euro ball drop solution. We get plenty of deep tpv intrusions in the conus. Centered over the 4 corners? Lol. That happens never so we good

 

[Brent]

Your area is getting it no doubt.

Yeah the biggest questions here... Will there be any snow and also does it get to the level of 2021 and the 80s with highs below 10 and lows below zero

 

[Stevo24]

I bet we don’t get a lick of winter weather before Jan 1. Except maybe the mountains.

 

[severestorm]

I bet we don’t get a lick of winter weather before Jan 1. Except maybe the mountains.

The woolly worm and farmers almanac said it was going to be a bad winter! Have faith!

 

[SASQUATCH]

 

[Broken024]

Getting some high ratio clippers on the GEFS lol we are far from knowing what we’re getting out of this pattern .. all I know is the cold will come

High ratio clippers. @Jimmy Hypocracy special! Right after coastals and anafronts.

 

[NoSnowATL]

 

[WSW]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
316 PM EST Tue Dec 13 2022

VAZ028-030-031-WVZ051>053-140400-
/O.EXB.KLWX.WS.A.0007.221215T0500Z-221215T2300Z/
Frederick VA-Warren-Clarke-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-
316 PM EST Tue Dec 13 2022

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Freezing rain and sleet. Significant ice accumulation
around a quarter of an inch, with up to half an inch possible
along the ridges. Total sleet accumulations around one inch
possible.




* WHERE...Portions of northwest Virginia and panhandle West
Virginia.

* WHEN...Wintry precipitation begins as early as Wednesday
evening, then becomes more intense overnight Wednesday into
Thursday morning. Warmer air should push into the valleys by
Thursday afternoon, but freezing rain likely continues on the
ridges through through Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the
ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions
will likely impact the morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation at
weather.gov/lwx/winter.

First WSW of the season for back home. Meh, ZR and sleet are sorta boring, but i think i moved 2 states too far south..LOL

 

[LukeBarrette]

I just want to have a system to track?
And a storm thread

 

[SD]

Hot take the models aren't good but they weren't that bad. Discuss

?

 

[NoSnowATL]

?

Wen snow?

 

[SD]

Wen snow?

I need a @NickyBGuarantee

 

[Stevo24]

Wen snow?

Never

 

[SnowNiner]

?

18z GEFS looked great. We still don't completely suck again yet.

 

[SD]

18z GEFS looked great. We still don't completely suck again yet.

The operational euro was the only disaster at 12z, everything else was just kind of meh. We may not get the historic pattern the models were showing 36 hours ago but we are still in the game for something decent