Brent
Member
if only there was more cold air
<every storm ever this time of year
<every storm ever this time of year
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Misc 2018 Banter & Venting Thread
- Thread starter GeorgiaGirl
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Snowflowxxl
Member
About time to start inspecting the cliff! Temps are always the most important!!!
Kylo
Member
Anytime at this range temps look iffy you know it isn’t going to end well. Oh well, hopefully we get a better pattern in February.
Why would anyone get excited off the FV3? I get technically, it hasn't been tested. But it looks like it's on crack.
I don't know if I will cliff jump yet. I'll wait until Thursday when it starts to come in.
The clown maps, yes. The surface maps, however, are plausible
There's just not enough cold air. How are you going to get a major winter storm without the cold ?
Sure, but the extreme totals reminds me of what the Canadian use to show, which was a cold bias every run.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Well hey the NAM wasn't far off for last Decembers snow and we all thought it was on crack but nope it was quite decent here at least. I can't believe the 3 feet it shows in NC but temps I can.
Depression has settled in with the other thread. Lol never had a chance anyways here in Columbia. Doesn't snow in hell.
It's early December. It's an El Nino winter. Chances of snow in Early December are already very low in the south but in an El Nino winter it's even lower right ?
Very true, NAM did nail that storm. Maybe the NAM nails this one once in range.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
I'm taking a step closer to the cliff on this one. Seems the CAD chances are dropping significantly and the only chance of anything is if the high in the plains is strong enough to push the cold south enough for an overrunning in N GA and AL instead of TN. Unlikely but I can hope.
Here’s how the next 12 hours will go:
EPS will come back Similar to 00z
Local weather offices as well as credible meteorologists will call the Euro op an outlier
06z models will stick to their guns
12z Ukie, Icon, GFS, FV3, Euro will come in warmer/north
*more cliff jumping*
EPS will come back Similar to 00z
Local weather offices as well as credible meteorologists will call the Euro op an outlier
06z models will stick to their guns
12z Ukie, Icon, GFS, FV3, Euro will come in warmer/north
*more cliff jumping*
LetItSnow
Member
It's gonna snow
No it's no
It's gonna go North
Wow, it went South.
It's gonna snow/ice
No it's not
"pick a model name" sucks
"pick a model name" is the way to go
The next 5 days of postings, enjoy the reading if you're so inclined..
No it's no
It's gonna go North
Wow, it went South.
It's gonna snow/ice
No it's not
"pick a model name" sucks
"pick a model name" is the way to go
The next 5 days of postings, enjoy the reading if you're so inclined..
That's usually what happens when we track winter storms.
NoSnowATL
Member
Glad I’m on vacation because I wouldn’t be getting anything done this week.
Storm5
Member
Meanwhile in Iceland
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When you think about it, much of the US is lucky (or unlucky) depending on your perspective, to get as much cold and snow as we do given our pretty low latitude. Even Minneapolis is only halfway between the Equator and North Pole. Minneapolis is at about the same latitude as Northern Italy. The south is the same latitude as Northern Africa.
------------- 2014 Vlog from the Feb 2014 Winter Storm
2 to 3 days from occurring where models were too warm, and GFS won over Euro.
The February 2014 storm was decent for RDU. We got about 5" of snow with 0.2-0.3" of glaze ice on top. I doubt this upcoming system will be nearly as cold since this storm had below freezing temperatures for much of the event.
Avalanche
Member
What was so special about the feb 14th storm that caused a riff in the current storm thread? Ive seen posters reference storms going back to the 1930's with no issues, but the feb 14th storm appears to have more in common to reference than the 80 years ago storms? What am i missing?? Did that feb 14th storm cause a lot of issues?
It trended colder at the last second. For example, Columbia was supposed to be an ice storm with ice rain mixed. 36 hours out, the CAD trended much colder and it turned into a sleet storm, areas to the West and South ended up with a devastating ice storm.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Duh, it’ll make its own! The snowflakes act as parachutes and pull it down
All I remember about the February 2014 storm is that we were supposed to get a crippling ice storm and it ended up being not bad at all.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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What up wit dat day 3, yo?
Avalanche
Member
But why are other historic storms okay to discuss in the thread but not that particular one?
Same here, we lucked out imby and the air was colder than progged... 25 miles away was like an inch of ice... while we got sleet. WHEW
Because the CAD was stronger.. Colder temps just above. That's why Jim Cantore left Columbia and went to Augusta, because the catastrophic ice storm forecasted shifted to the South.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Glen Burns was hyping up 2014 as being BIBLICAL! Ended up just getting 2 inches snow, half inch of sleet and .1 ZR. Not too bad
There are just some storms you don't talk about. The February 2014 storm is one and the March 1993 storm is another.
They tend to get upset when you get away from the discussion.
NoSnowATL
Member
That day the love of snow dead in his heart.
Yeah it wasn't nearly as eventful for my area as the January 2014 storm was. Maybe due to the snow just a couple weeks earlier meteorologists felt it was necessary to hype the storm even more.
Seriously beginning to wonder if it will ever do anything in Columbia again winter weather wise. Feels like eternity since we've got to join in with the fun..
In fact, it's been since the Feb 2014, that was the last time Lexington and Richland county has been under a Winter storm warning... Sad.
In fact, it's been since the Feb 2014, that was the last time Lexington and Richland county has been under a Winter storm warning... Sad.
Storm5
Member
My wife needs to learn the model cycle schedule she just sent me to the damn store
#18zgfsfail
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#18zgfsfail
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
As is the case with other winter storms, Feb. 2014 will be remembered on a case by case basis.
I wasn't at home then and what I actually remember with the snow part of it is round two actually probably busted. Some absurd totals were being thrown around for what the main event was and that got cut down a bunch by freezing rain as far north as far NW GA iirc (I wasn't up there but was south of there in Rome). But for round 1 I ended up picking up about 4" and then round two was honestly probably the same, maybe 5" at most. So if you didn't get the round one snow, this event didn't live up to what it was hyped to be (which was absurd anyway).
But down at home? Absolutely smashed by a massive ice storm. I think the worst of the ice part of it was honestly mainly east central Georgia (I'd have to check to be sure). The images that came from it from my dad were insane. They lost power for a little over a week.
I wasn't at home then and what I actually remember with the snow part of it is round two actually probably busted. Some absurd totals were being thrown around for what the main event was and that got cut down a bunch by freezing rain as far north as far NW GA iirc (I wasn't up there but was south of there in Rome). But for round 1 I ended up picking up about 4" and then round two was honestly probably the same, maybe 5" at most. So if you didn't get the round one snow, this event didn't live up to what it was hyped to be (which was absurd anyway).
But down at home? Absolutely smashed by a massive ice storm. I think the worst of the ice part of it was honestly mainly east central Georgia (I'd have to check to be sure). The images that came from it from my dad were insane. They lost power for a little over a week.
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