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Misc 2018 Banter & Venting Thread

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It either needs to stay warm and sunny or snow. I am going stir crazy at work. I'd love a few more snow days off, but if not at least let the weather be nice.

Next 10 days or so looks like it will be mostly below normal, though not serious cold like we saw in early January, some nice cold shots. Then after it looks like it will warm up nicely, for how long nobody knows. Pattern looks hostile for cold in the east after the 10th, but the end of February is a long ways away. I like snow and hold out hope that maybe towards February 20th we could get back to a pattern that would support snow.

That mid-January snow we had was my most memorable snow event in a long long time. Nothing like watching it snow all day and turn everything white. Great winter.
 
This is one reason why I think winter may be over. It takes time to recover from something like this and this is out past mid February already. So maybe cold returns to North America eventually but once you get into March it's very difficult this far south. But, deep down I still hold out hope.

 
Look how huge Atl is,,,this is just a small portion ..# other skylines are not even shown in this pic....1-29-18
38612803904_5200062229_h.jpg
 
I don't think it looks encouraging for more snow in my area this winter. Plus, it has been a while since we have had more than one good storm for the whole winter. The past several years it has been one storm or nothing really at all. We already had one good storm. I think that might be it.
 
Seeing the weeklies posted again made me think "holy crap, this week really went by fast".

Anyway, based on what I just recently read, I might punt February completely. February will not be cold if the MJO pulse is as strong as thought even if we have a +PNA, -AO, and -EPO.
 
Seeing the weeklies posted again made me think "holy crap, this week really went by fast".

Anyway, based on what I just recently read, I might punt February completely. February will not be cold if the MJO pulse is as strong as thought even if we have a +PNA, -AO, and -EPO.
Yeah, a +PNA can still correlate to a bad pattern if it isn't tall enough. I'm hoping Eric is right about the JMA being a bit better than the EPS and GEFS if I read it right. We need to make it to phase 8 even if it's in the COD, but not for 2 days or so. It would be horrible to speed through the phases only to get back to 3, 4, and 5 in a hurry. But then again, MJO isn't everything.
 
Look how huge Atl is,,,this is just a small portion ..# other skylines are not even shown in this pic....1-29-18
38612803904_5200062229_h.jpg

Its amazing how much is filled in between the BOA building and the heart of midtown. Once the area just north of the Grady curve fills in it will be a continuous line.
 
Since nobody posts in the observations thread I'll post in here. 25 degrees and temp is falling pretty fast
The moon angle is mere days away from letting it get below 30 at night anymore! Spring has arrived!
 
Waiting to see if the rat will see it's shadow

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Either way, winters over! The Euro and it's weeklies say so!
 
Well, we have the JMA and Punxy Phil on our side for fab Feb! I'm all in now! :(:weenie::cool:
 
I don't make the rules but if I did all those who have said winter is over, done, finished, etc would be barred from posting in any winter thread..... but that's just me.
2nd that motion, and really they should have no reason to even be in the winter threads, winter is over so they say. They can concentrate on writing and arithmetic because it's obvious they can't read.
 
I don't make the rules but if I did all those who have said winter is over, done, finished, etc would be barred from posting in any winter thread..... but that's just me.
The drama hours like to happen every day it seems, and yes, I have said just to punt winter several times, and really we have no idea what the weather will do. The models aren't doing well at all, so cold warm, you can't tell which will happen.
 
2nd that motion, and really they should have no reason to even be in the winter threads, winter is over so they say. They can concentrate on writing and arithmetic because it's obvious they can't read.
I really don't see the problem. No models are showing cold at the end of the runs , weeklies blew yesterday, desperation talk of SSW event, who says winter can't be over? Could just as easily be avg to above and no more snow for anybody, as it could be colder and snowy
 
The drama hours like to happen every day it seems, and yes, I have said just to punt winter several times, and really we have no idea what the weather will do. The models aren't doing well at all, so cold warm, you can't tell which will happen.
True... I punted til V-day so I'm gonna stick with that but to say it's done entirely is a bit much imho. We all feel better when we see surface reflections of cold/snow but when that's not there we have to sort of trust the larger wheels that are in motion and see what happens.
 
I really don't see the problem. No models are showing cold at the end of the runs , weeklies blew yesterday, desperation talk of SSW event, who says winter can't be over? Could just as easily be avg to above and no more snow for anybody, as it could be colder and snowy
I think it's more of how those statements are made, you have to admit you and others make statements of winter being over that appear to sound finite, no way no how it could change. IF that is how you truly feel then why bother? Serious question
 
I think it's more of how those statements are made, you have to admit you and others make statements of winter being over that appear to sound finite, no way no how it could change. IF that is how you truly feel then why bother? Serious question
Usually it's out of frustration. When we were all supposed to relax and mid Feb was gonna be rocking, now that's not what the indicies have been showing the last few days, and we start pulling out JMA MJO forecasts ( who new) we are rapidly losing prime climo, and if the great changes to cold and wintry pattern take another week or two to materialize, we are in serious trouble! We can't even get snow/wintry precip right in January, so March very, very rarely works out for 90% of the board.
 
Usually it's out of frustration. When we were all supposed to relax and mid Feb was gonna be rocking, now that's not what the indicies have been showing the last few days, and we start pulling out JMA MJO forecasts ( who new) we are rapidly losing prime climo, and if the great changes to cold and wintry pattern take another week or two to materialize, we are in serious trouble! We can't even get snow/wintry precip right in January, so March very, very rarely works out for 90% of the board.
I'll end with this thought because I understand the frustration but you didn't really answer my question and I'm not even directing this at just you. If a poster feels winter is over, in other words no more cold no shot at wintry precip, it's done but continues to post in winter threads then they either believe there is still a shot at something wintry, which by their own actions argues against their own statements or they are trolling. Which is it?
 
I'll end with this thought because I understand the frustration but you didn't really answer my question and I'm not even directing this at just you. If a poster feels winter is over, in other words no more cold no shot at wintry precip, it's done but continues to post in winter threads then they either believe there is still a shot at something wintry, which by their own actions argues against their own statements or they are trolling. Which is it?
Mack half trolls, half thinks winter is over, and half thinks there's still a chance for snow. He's tall, so he gets an extra 50%.
 
Here's the psychology aspect of it:

If you really want cold and snow, and it keeps looking like there's not going to be cold and snow, but you know that there's still a chance for cold and snow, it's not uncommon to post negative remarks about the bad pattern (or negative remarks about the good pattern that was expected but now seems like it won't materialize) in the hope that someone will come along and comfort your fears and restore your hope for cold or snow. These negative remarks typically manifest as either objections to previous forecasts or trolling or bittercasting.
 
I agree with the trolls. By the looks of the models (the ONLY thing we have to go by) It looks like winter is coming to a close. With that said, I will still be coming here looking for a little glimmer of hope. Good or bad, I would love to get NAM'd one more time before the season comes to a close
 
I don't make the rules but if I did all those who have said winter is over, done, finished, etc would be barred from posting in any winter thread..... but that's just me.

x=Likes
n=infinity
Solve...

(x + 1) * n



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I'll end with this thought because I understand the frustration but you didn't really answer my question and I'm not even directing this at just you. If a poster feels winter is over, in other words no more cold no shot at wintry precip, it's done but continues to post in winter threads then they either believe there is still a shot at something wintry, which by their own actions argues against their own statements or they are trolling. Which is it?
I don't think I troll too much, just arguing with myself. Some people troll 24 / 7, I guess I just need affirmation everything's going to be ok. Probably the biggest snow weenie there is , just living in the wrong place for that I guess
 
I don't think I troll too much, just arguing with myself. Some people troll 24 / 7, I guess I just need affirmation everything's going to be ok. Probably the biggest snow weenie there is , just living in the wrong place for that I guess
That's what makes it so much fun. Year in, year out, searching for that Great White Buffalo..
 
I got RGEM'd this morning and I loved every minute of it. Hanging by every frame knowing good and well it was an outlier. Bring it! What is life without a little disappointment here and there? I welcome it with open arms. Makes victory all the more sweeter
 
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